Premier League 2025-2026: Liverpool vs Wolves Prediction

Liverpool

Home Team
95%
VS

Wolves

Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%
Goal: 49%
No Goal: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 17 12 3 2 31 10 21 39
2 Man City 17 12 1 4 41 16 25 37
3 Aston Villa 17 11 3 3 27 18 9 36
4 Chelsea 17 8 5 4 29 17 12 29
5 Liverpool 17 9 2 6 28 25 3 29
6 Sunderland 17 7 6 4 19 17 2 27
7 Man United 17 7 5 5 31 28 3 26
8 Crystal Palace 17 7 5 5 21 19 2 26
9 Brighton 17 6 6 5 25 23 2 24
10 Everton 17 7 3 7 18 20 -2 24
11 Newcastle 17 6 5 6 23 22 1 23
12 Brentford 17 7 2 8 24 25 -1 23
13 Fulham 17 7 2 8 24 26 -2 23
14 Tottenham 17 6 4 7 26 23 3 22
15 Bournemouth 17 5 7 5 26 29 -3 22
16 Leeds 17 5 4 8 24 31 -7 19
17 Nott'm Forest 17 5 3 9 17 26 -9 18
18 West Ham 17 3 4 10 19 35 -16 13
19 Burnley 17 3 2 12 19 34 -15 11
20 Wolves 17 0 2 15 9 37 -28 2

Recent Trends

Liverpool ✅ ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Leeds (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Sunderland (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 0)

Wolves ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Liverpool

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.93
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.31
# Clean Sheets: 2

Wolves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.46
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.94
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Liverpool is heavily favored to secure a victory against Wolves, with a staggering 95% probability of winning. The game is expected to have more than 2.5 goals, as indicated by a 52% probability, suggesting an action-packed encounter. Liverpool currently sits in 5th place in the Premier League, positioning themselves well for a Champions League spot, while Wolves languish at the bottom of the table, rooted in 20th place, and desperately trying to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

Liverpool heads into this match with a solid recent performance record, having won two of their last three matches and drawing the other. The Reds have shown resilience, especially in their victory against Tottenham away from home, and a comfortable win over Brighton at Anfield. Despite a high-scoring draw against Leeds, Liverpool's defense has managed two clean sheets in their last five matches. Their average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game in recent outings doesn't fully capture their attacking potential, as evidenced by an expected goals (xG) average of 1.932, indicating they often create quality chances. Conversely, Wolves are struggling, having lost all three of their last matches, including a home defeat to Brentford and a heavy loss against Manchester United. Their attacking output has been dismal, with an average of just 0.2 goals scored in the last five games, and they have failed to keep a single clean sheet in this period. Defensively, Wolves have been porous, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game, and their expected goals conceded (xGC) of 1.936 suggests that their defense is consistently under pressure.

Final Prediction

Liverpool's superior form and attacking capability give them a clear edge in this matchup against Wolves, who have been unable to find form or a win this season. The key factor to watch will be Liverpool's ability to convert their chances into goals, capitalizing on Wolves' defensive vulnerabilities. This encounter promises to be a showcase of Liverpool's attacking prowess, as they aim to solidify their top-five position.