Premier League 2025-2026: Man City vs Bournemouth Prediction

Man City

Home Team
85%
VS

Bournemouth

Away Team
7%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 56%
Under 2.5: 44%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 9 7 1 1 16 3 13 22
2 Bournemouth 9 5 3 1 16 11 5 18
3 Tottenham 9 5 2 2 17 7 10 17
4 Sunderland 9 5 2 2 11 7 4 17
5 Man City 9 5 1 3 17 7 10 16
6 Man United 9 5 1 3 15 14 1 16
7 Liverpool 9 5 0 4 16 14 2 15
8 Aston Villa 9 4 3 2 9 8 1 15
9 Chelsea 9 4 2 3 17 11 6 14
10 Crystal Palace 9 3 4 2 12 9 3 13
11 Brentford 9 4 1 4 14 14 0 13
12 Newcastle 9 3 3 3 9 8 1 12
13 Brighton 9 3 3 3 14 15 -1 12
14 Everton 9 3 2 4 9 12 -3 11
15 Leeds 9 3 2 4 9 14 -5 11
16 Burnley 9 3 1 5 12 17 -5 10
17 Fulham 9 2 2 5 9 14 -5 8
18 Nott'm Forest 9 1 2 6 5 17 -12 5
19 West Ham 9 1 1 7 7 20 -13 4
20 Wolves 9 0 2 7 7 19 -12 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Man City

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.24
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.02
# Clean Sheets: 2

Bournemouth

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.70
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.28
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Manchester City and Bournemouth is heavily tilted in favor of the home side. With an 85% probability of victory, Manchester City is expected to dominate the encounter. The match is also anticipated to yield more than 2.5 goals with a 56% likelihood. Currently, Manchester City sits at 5th place in the Premier League standings, while Bournemouth stands a notch higher at 2nd place, making this an intriguing clash for both teams.

Match Analysis

Over the last three games, Manchester City has shown resilience despite a recent loss to Aston Villa. They secured victories against Everton and Brentford, both matches showcasing their defensive solidity with clean sheets. The team averages 2.5 goals in their last five matches while conceding only 0.75, demonstrating their offensive prowess and defensive reliability. Their expected goals metrics also reinforce their strong attacking potential, making them a formidable opponent. Bournemouth has been in a good run of form as well, with two wins and a draw in their last three outings. Their performances include a comprehensive 3-1 victory against Fulham and a high-scoring draw against Crystal Palace. Bournemouth has averaged 2 goals per game over their last five matches but has conceded 2.25 goals on average, highlighting a defensive vulnerability that City might exploit. Despite this, their ability to score consistently keeps them competitive.

Final Prediction

Manchester City appears to have the upper hand due to their superior goal-scoring and defensive records, alongside playing at home. Their ability to keep clean sheets might play a crucial role in dictating the game's pace. Fans should keep a close eye on City's attacking tactics, which are likely to be the key factor in securing their victory.