Premier League 2024-2025: Man City vs Leicester Prediction

Man City

Home Team
97%
VS

Leicester

Away Team
1%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 29 21 7 1 69 27 42 70
2 Arsenal 29 16 10 3 53 24 29 58
3 Nott'm Forest 29 16 6 7 49 35 14 54
4 Chelsea 29 14 7 8 53 37 16 49
5 Man City 29 14 6 9 55 40 15 48
6 Newcastle 28 14 5 9 47 38 9 47
7 Brighton 29 12 11 6 48 42 6 47
8 Fulham 29 12 9 8 43 38 5 45
9 Aston Villa 29 12 9 8 41 45 -4 45
10 Bournemouth 29 12 8 9 48 36 12 44
11 Brentford 29 12 5 12 50 45 5 41
12 Crystal Palace 28 10 9 9 36 33 3 39
13 Man United 29 10 7 12 37 40 -3 37
14 Tottenham 29 10 4 15 55 43 12 34
15 Everton 29 7 13 9 32 36 -4 34
16 West Ham 29 9 7 13 33 49 -16 34
17 Wolves 29 7 5 17 40 58 -18 26
18 Ipswich 29 3 8 18 28 62 -34 17
19 Leicester 29 4 5 20 25 65 -40 17
20 Southampton 29 2 3 24 21 70 -49 9

Recent Trends

Man City ⚪ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Newcastle (Goals: 4 - 0)

Leicester ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Man United (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs West Ham (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Man City

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.22
# Clean Sheets: 2

Leicester

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.61
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.04
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Manchester City and Leicester City is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, with a 97% probability of Manchester City emerging victorious. The likelihood of a Leicester win is a mere 1%, while the chance of a draw stands at 2%. Manchester City sits in 5th place in the Premier League standings with 48 points, while Leicester languishes in 19th place with only 17 points. The prediction also suggests that the match will have fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 49% probability of an under 2.5 goals outcome.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Manchester City has shown mixed results with a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three fixtures. They secured a 1-0 victory against Tottenham away and drew 2-2 with Brighton at home, but suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat to Nott'm Forest away. Despite these fluctuations, City has demonstrated their scoring ability, averaging 2.6 goals in their last five encounters, while their defense has remained relatively solid with an average of 1.2 goals conceded. Conversely, Leicester City is grappling with a troubling form, having lost all three of their last matches without scoring a single goal. They suffered a heavy 3-0 loss to Manchester United at home and failed to find the back of the net against Chelsea and West Ham, conceding a total of six goals across these fixtures. Leicester's offensive struggles are reflected in their average of just 0.6 goals scored in the last five games, with a concerning average of 2.0 goals conceded.

Final Prediction

Manchester City's robust attacking capabilities and relatively stable defense provide them with a clear edge over a struggling Leicester side. With Leicester's inability to score in recent games and their porous defense, City is well-placed to capitalize on their opponent's vulnerabilities. A key factor to watch is Manchester City's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, as this could determine the extent of their dominance in the match.