Premier League 2025-2026: Man City vs Sunderland Prediction
Man City
Home Team
96%
VS
Sunderland
Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5:
62%
Under 2.5:
38%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Man City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Brighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Man United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Everton | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
| 13 | Brentford | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 | Fulham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
| 17 | Leeds | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 18 | West Ham | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 | Burnley | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 29 | -22 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Man City
- Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 5 - 4)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 3 - 1)
Sunderland
- Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Man City
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.53
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.00
# Clean Sheets:
1
Sunderland
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.05
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.76
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Man City and Sunderland is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, with a staggering 96.0% probability of a Man City victory. The match is also predicted to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 62.0% likelihood of this outcome. Currently, Man City sits in 2nd place in the Premier League standings, while Sunderland is in 6th, highlighting a clear gap in performance and points.
Match Analysis
Man City's recent form showcases their attacking prowess, having won two out of their last three matches. They secured a significant 5-4 victory against Fulham and a 3-2 win over Leeds, both indicating their ability to score prolifically. However, their defensive vulnerabilities were exposed in a 1-2 loss to Newcastle. On average, Man City scores 3.2 goals per game and concedes 0.8, with their expected goals also reflecting strong offensive capabilities.
In contrast, Sunderland has experienced a mixed bag of results. A notable 1-1 draw against Liverpool and a 3-2 victory over Bournemouth are highlights, but they faltered in a 0-1 defeat to Fulham. Their average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game suggests a less potent attack compared to their opponents. Sunderland’s expected goals statistics indicate struggles both offensively and defensively, with no clean sheets in their recent outings.
Final Prediction
Man City’s superior attacking statistics and league standing provide them with a decisive edge over Sunderland. Fans should particularly watch for Man City's offensive strategy, as their high scoring average could dictate the game's tempo. Sunderland will need to be defensively robust to counter Man City's attacking threats.