Premier League 2025-2026: Man United vs Bournemouth Prediction
Man United
Home Team
73%
VS
Bournemouth
Away Team
13%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5:
49%
Under 2.5:
51%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Man City | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Man United | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Everton | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 22 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 | Brentford | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 | Fulham | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Leeds | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 15 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
| 18 | West Ham | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 33 | -25 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Man United
- Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 4 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 2)
Bournemouth
- Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 4)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Man United
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.96
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.75
# Clean Sheets:
0
Bournemouth
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.56
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.43
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Manchester United and Bournemouth is heavily skewed in favor of the home team, Manchester United, with a 73.0% probability of winning. The predicted outcome suggests a low-scoring affair, with the probability of under 2.5 goals at 49.0%. In the current Premier League standings, Manchester United occupies the 6th position, while Bournemouth sits at 13th, highlighting the gap between the two sides.
Match Analysis
Manchester United enters this match in promising form, securing two wins and a draw in their last three games. They recently triumphed over Wolves with a 4-1 victory and displayed resilience in a 1-1 draw against West Ham at home. United's average goals scored in the last five games is 1.8, with an expected goals figure of 1.956, indicating their offensive capability. However, their defense has been slightly porous, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game, compounded by the absence of clean sheets during this period.
In contrast, Bournemouth's recent performances have been less encouraging, with two losses and a draw. A scoreless draw against Chelsea, followed by defeats to Everton and Sunderland, highlights their struggles. They have conceded an alarming average of 3.0 goals per game over the last five matches, with expected goals conceded at 2.43, emphasizing defensive vulnerabilities. Despite scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game, their inability to secure consistent clean sheets adds to their woes.
Final Prediction
Manchester United is poised as the favorite due to their superior form and position in the standings. Their attacking prowess, coupled with Bournemouth's defensive frailties, gives them a distinct edge. A key factor to watch will be United's ability to exploit Bournemouth's defensive lapses, potentially determining the game's outcome.