Premier League 2025-2026: Newcastle vs Nott'm Forest Prediction
Newcastle
Home Team
49%
VS
Nott'm Forest
Away Team
28%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
51%
Under 2.5:
49%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Man City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Chelsea | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Brighton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Fulham | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leeds | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Man United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Newcastle | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Burnley | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | West Ham | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Wolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 1 |
Recent Trends
Newcastle
- Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 2 - 3)
Nott'm Forest
- Last Match: vs Sunderland (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs West Ham (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Newcastle
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.30
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.03
# Clean Sheets:
3
Nott'm Forest
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.82
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.71
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Newcastle and Nott'm Forest sees the home team as the favored side to secure a victory, with a 49.0% probability. Newcastle is predicted to win, with the match likely to see over 2.5 goals, given the 51.0% likelihood for such an outcome. In the current Premier League standings, Newcastle sits at 15th place, while Nott'm Forest trails closely behind at 17th, both teams aiming to climb away from the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
In recent performances, Newcastle has shown a mixed bag of results but appears to be finding some form. They secured a vital win against Wolves at home, while managing a draw away at Bournemouth. Their narrow loss to Arsenal suggests they can challenge higher-ranked teams, especially at home. Key metrics reveal that Newcastle has managed three clean sheets in their last five games, demonstrating a solid defensive setup. However, their average goals conceded remain high at 1.67 per game, indicating potential vulnerabilities.
Nott'm Forest, meanwhile, is struggling to find consistent form. They are winless in their last three outings, with a home defeat against Sunderland and a heavy away loss to Arsenal. Their draw against Burnley was a slight reprieve, but they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches. With an average of only 0.67 goals scored per game, they face challenges in front of goal, while conceding 1.67 on average, which suggests defensive frailties.
Final Prediction
Newcastle holds the upper hand in this encounter, primarily due to their stronger home performances and defensive solidity compared to Nott'm Forest's struggles. A key factor to watch will be Newcastle's ability to convert chances into goals, capitalizing on Nott'm Forest's defensive weaknesses. This match promises to be a crucial fixture for both teams as they look to steer clear of the relegation zone.