Premier League 2025-2026: Nott'm Forest vs Brighton Prediction
Nott'm Forest
Home Team
39%
VS
Brighton
Away Team
34%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Man City | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 22 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Brighton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
| 10 | Man United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Everton | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 | Liverpool | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Fulham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | West Ham | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 | Leeds | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 11 |
| 19 | Burnley | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 27 | -20 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Nott'm Forest
- Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 3)
Brighton
- Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 4)
- 5th Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Nott'm Forest
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.65
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.62
# Clean Sheets:
1
Brighton
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.33
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Nott'm Forest and Brighton at City Ground is predicted to be a tight contest, with Nott'm Forest having a slight edge with a 39.0% chance of securing a home victory. Brighton, positioned 6th in the Premier League standings, has a 34.0% probability of winning away, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 27.0%. The match is expected to feature less than 2.5 goals, with a 48.0% probability, emphasizing a potentially defensive battle. Currently, Nott'm Forest sits 16th in the league, looking to climb out of the lower ranks.
Match Analysis
Nott'm Forest comes into this game with a solid recent form, having recorded two impressive victories against Liverpool and Leeds, and a hard-fought draw against Manchester United. This run has seen them score eight goals and concede just three, indicating a strong offensive and defensive performance. Despite their current position in the league, their recent matches reveal a team capable of big performances. Key metrics show they've averaged 1.0 goals per game in the last five outings, with an expected goals figure of 1.648, hinting at their potential to score more.
Brighton, on the other hand, is having a steady season so far. Their recent outings include a victory against Brentford and a clean sheet draw against Crystal Palace, followed by a commanding win over Leeds. Their defensive stability is evident with two clean sheets in the last five games. They have averaged 1.4 goals per match, slightly higher than Nott'm Forest, but their expected goals conceded average of 1.3279999999999998 suggests they could be vulnerable at the back.
Final Prediction
Nott'm Forest's recent form, combined with their home advantage, gives them a slight edge in this encounter. Their ability to turn over higher-ranked teams like Liverpool could be a decisive factor. A key element to watch will be Nott'm Forest's ability to maintain their attacking momentum against Brighton's resilient defense. This match may well be decided by a moment of individual brilliance or a defensive lapse, making it one to watch for fans of both clubs.