Premier League 2024-2025: Southampton vs Wolves Prediction

Southampton

Home Team
13%
VS

Wolves

Away Team
75%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 67%
Under 2.5: 33%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 29 21 7 1 69 27 42 70
2 Arsenal 28 15 10 3 52 24 28 55
3 Nott'm Forest 28 15 6 7 45 33 12 51
4 Chelsea 28 14 7 7 53 36 17 49
5 Man City 28 14 5 9 53 38 15 47
6 Newcastle 28 14 5 9 47 38 9 47
7 Brighton 28 12 10 6 46 40 6 46
8 Aston Villa 29 12 9 8 41 45 -4 45
9 Bournemouth 28 12 8 8 47 34 13 44
10 Fulham 28 11 9 8 41 38 3 42
11 Crystal Palace 28 10 9 9 36 33 3 39
12 Brentford 28 11 5 12 48 44 4 38
13 Tottenham 28 10 4 14 55 41 14 34
14 Man United 28 9 7 12 34 40 -6 34
15 Everton 28 7 12 9 31 35 -4 33
16 West Ham 28 9 6 13 32 48 -16 33
17 Wolves 28 6 5 17 38 57 -19 23
18 Ipswich 28 3 8 17 26 58 -32 17
19 Leicester 28 4 5 19 25 62 -37 17
20 Southampton 28 2 3 23 20 68 -48 9

Recent Trends

Southampton ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Brighton (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ipswich (Goals: 2 - 1)

Wolves ⚪ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Bournemouth (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Southampton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.88
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 3.55
# Clean Sheets: 0

Wolves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.01
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Southampton and Wolves is heavily favored towards the away team, with a 75.0% probability of Wolves emerging victorious. In stark contrast, Southampton's chances stand at a mere 13.0%. The game is anticipated to have over 2.5 goals, with a 67.0% likelihood of this result. Currently, Southampton languishes at the bottom of the Premier League table in 20th position, while Wolves are slightly better off, sitting at 17th.

Match Analysis

Southampton's recent form has been dismal, suffering three consecutive losses against formidable opponents like Liverpool and Chelsea, as well as Brighton. Conceding 11 goals in these encounters while managing to score just once highlights their defensive vulnerabilities and attacking inefficiencies. With an average of just 0.4 goals scored per game in their last five matches, their offensive struggles are a major concern. Furthermore, Southampton has failed to keep a single clean sheet in their recent fixtures, underlining their defensive fragility. On the other hand, Wolves have shown glimpses of resilience in their recent performances. They managed a draw against Everton and secured a win against Bournemouth. Despite a narrow loss to Fulham, Wolves have been relatively more stable, conceding fewer goals on average than Southampton. Their advanced metrics suggest a slight edge, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per game in their last five outings. Wolves' ability to keep two clean sheets during this period could be pivotal, especially against a struggling Southampton attack.

Final Prediction

Wolves are predicted to have the upper hand due to their more consistent performances and defensive stability compared to Southampton's ongoing struggles. The critical factor to watch will be Wolves' ability to capitalize on Southampton's weak defense while maintaining their own defensive discipline to secure a vital win. This game could be a turning point for Wolves in their quest to distance themselves from the relegation battle.