Premier League 2025-2026: Tottenham vs Brentford Prediction
Tottenham
Home Team
40%
VS
Brentford
Away Team
35%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 33 |
| 2 | Man City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 27 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Brighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Man United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Everton | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
| 13 | Brentford | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 | Fulham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Nott'm Forest | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
| 17 | Leeds | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 14 |
| 18 | West Ham | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 | Burnley | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 29 | -22 | 2 |
Recent Trends
Tottenham
- Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 1)
Brentford
- Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Newcastle (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Tottenham
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.98
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.23
# Clean Sheets:
0
Brentford
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.58
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.22
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Tottenham and Brentford sees the home side slightly favored, with a 40% probability of winning. The prediction leans towards Tottenham securing the victory despite the tight competitive edge Brentford presents with a 35% chance of an away win. As both teams hover around the middle of the Premier League table—Tottenham in 11th and Brentford in 13th—fans can anticipate a closely contested match with fewer than 2.5 goals expected.
Match Analysis
Tottenham's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a draw against Newcastle (2-2) followed by back-to-back losses to Fulham (2-1) and Arsenal (4-1). These results indicate a struggle in maintaining defensive solidity, as they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game in their last five fixtures. Offensively, Tottenham's output has been modest, managing just an average of one goal per game, while their expected goals stand at 0.976, highlighting a need for sharper finishing.
Brentford's recent form mirrors Tottenham's challenges, with a win against Burnley (3-1) sandwiched between losses to Arsenal (2-0) and Brighton (2-1). Brentford's defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, though their expected goals conceded metric is slightly better at 1.224. Offensively, Brentford averages 0.8 goals per game but shows potential for more with their higher expected goals tally of 1.582, suggesting they could pose a threat if they convert chances more effectively.
Final Prediction
Tottenham's slight edge in the prediction stems from their home advantage and similar standing to Brentford, which could make the difference in this tightly matched contest. A key factor to watch will be how effectively both teams can capitalize on their scoring opportunities, given their recent struggles in front of goal. With both sides lacking clean sheets in recent matches, a close encounter with goals on both ends seems likely.