Premier League 2025-2026: West Ham vs Aston Villa Prediction
West Ham
Home Team
21%
VS
Aston Villa
Away Team
59%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
59%
No Goal:
41%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Man City | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| 6 | Man United | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
| 7 | Everton | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 22 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 |
| 14 | Brentford | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 19 |
| 15 | Fulham | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
| 16 | Leeds | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 15 |
| 17 | Nott'm Forest | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
| 18 | West Ham | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolves | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 33 | -25 | 2 |
Recent Trends
West Ham
- Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Burnley (Goals: 3 - 2)
Aston Villa
- Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 4 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 4 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
West Ham
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.95
# Clean Sheets:
0
Aston Villa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.55
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
Aston Villa is predicted to win the upcoming match against West Ham with a probability of 59.0%. The game is expected to have more than 2.5 goals, with a 54.0% chance of this outcome. Aston Villa currently stands strong in the Premier League at 3rd position, while West Ham is struggling in the 18th spot, perilously close to the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
West Ham's recent performances have been underwhelming, with two consecutive draws against Brighton and Manchester United, followed by a home defeat to Liverpool. They have scored just two goals while conceding four in these matches. Their defense has been shaky, as highlighted by their average of 1.8 goals conceded per game in the last five outings and a lack of clean sheets. Offensively, the team’s xG of 1.094 suggests they are creating fewer quality chances.
In contrast, Aston Villa is riding high with an impressive run of three consecutive victories. They secured wins against top-tier teams like Arsenal and Brighton and maintained a clean sheet against Wolves. Villa's attacking prowess is evident as they've averaged 1.8 goals per game recently, supported by a solid xG of 1.25. Their defense has been more reliable, achieving two clean sheets in the last five matches, and has shown resilience by conceding fewer goals than West Ham.
Final Prediction
Aston Villa’s superior form and league standing give them a clear edge over West Ham in this encounter. Their recent attacking efficiency and defensive solidity are critical factors that tip the scales in their favor. A key aspect to watch will be Villa's ability to capitalize on West Ham's defensive vulnerabilities, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair as predicted.