Premier League 2025-2026: West Ham vs Burnley Prediction

West Ham

Home Team
80%
VS

Burnley

Away Team
9%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%
Goal: 50%
No Goal: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 10 8 1 1 18 3 15 25
2 Man City 10 6 1 3 20 8 12 19
3 Liverpool 10 6 0 4 18 14 4 18
4 Sunderland 10 5 3 2 12 8 4 18
5 Bournemouth 10 5 3 2 17 14 3 18
6 Tottenham 10 5 2 3 17 8 9 17
7 Chelsea 10 5 2 3 18 11 7 17
8 Man United 10 5 2 3 17 16 1 17
9 Crystal Palace 10 4 4 2 14 9 5 16
10 Brighton 10 4 3 3 17 15 2 15
11 Aston Villa 10 4 3 3 9 10 -1 15
12 Brentford 10 4 1 5 14 16 -2 13
13 Newcastle 10 3 3 4 10 11 -1 12
14 Everton 10 3 3 4 10 13 -3 12
15 Fulham 10 3 2 5 12 14 -2 11
16 Leeds 10 3 2 5 9 17 -8 11
17 Burnley 10 3 1 6 12 19 -7 10
18 West Ham 10 2 1 7 10 21 -11 7
19 Nott'm Forest 10 1 3 6 7 19 -12 6
20 Wolves 10 0 2 8 7 22 -15 2

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

West Ham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.36
# Clean Sheets: 0

Burnley

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.92
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.71
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Premier League clash between West Ham and Burnley is predicted to favor the home team, with an 80.0% probability of victory for West Ham. The likelihood of the game exceeding 2.5 goals is pegged at 51.0%, suggesting an exciting and potentially high-scoring affair. Currently, Burnley sits at 17th in the league table, while West Ham is struggling in 18th place, both teams battling to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

West Ham enters this fixture with a mixed bag of recent results. A notable 3-1 home victory against Newcastle showcased their ability to perform well on their turf, yet subsequent losses to Leeds and Brentford highlight inconsistencies, particularly in defense, as they conceded a total of four goals in those matches. On average, West Ham is scoring 1.0 goal per game and conceding 2.6, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that have been their Achilles' heel. Burnley, on the other hand, comes into this match after a similar patchy form. They managed a commendable 3-2 win away at Wolves and a solid 2-0 victory against Leeds but succumbed to a 2-0 defeat at home to Arsenal. With an average of 1.4 goals scored per game and conceding as many as 3.0, Burnley’s defensive frailties could be exploited by West Ham.

Final Prediction

West Ham holds the upper hand in this matchup, primarily due to their home advantage and Burnley’s defensive weaknesses. The ability of West Ham to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as demonstrated against Newcastle, could be a decisive factor. Football fans should keep an eye on West Ham's attacking prowess and Burnley's defensive resilience, as these elements might dictate the outcome of this crucial encounter.