Premier League 2025-2026: West Ham vs Newcastle Prediction
West Ham
Home Team
9%
VS
Newcastle
Away Team
81%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5:
53%
Under 2.5:
47%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Man City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Man United | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Brentford | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 13 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 13 | Brighton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Leeds | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Burnley | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Nott'm Forest | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 5 |
| 19 | West Ham | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 4 |
| 20 | Wolves | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 2 |
Recent Trends
West Ham
- Last Match: vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 2)
Newcastle
- Last Match: vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bournemouth (Goals: 0 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
West Ham
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.82
# Clean Sheets:
0
Newcastle
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.78
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.60
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming clash between West Ham and Newcastle, Newcastle emerges as the clear favorite with an 81% probability of securing victory. The likelihood of goals is high, with a 53% chance of the match witnessing over 2.5 goals. West Ham finds itself languishing at the 19th position in the Premier League table, while Newcastle sits in 12th place, looking to capitalize on their stronger form.
Match Analysis
West Ham's recent form has been disappointing, enduring a three-match losing streak. Their struggles are evident as they've conceded six goals while scoring only one across defeats to Leeds, Brentford, and Arsenal. The team’s defensive vulnerabilities are highlighted by an average of 3.0 goals conceded per game over the last five matches, and they have failed to keep a single clean sheet during this stretch. Their expected goals metrics also reflect their struggles, with a modest 0.625 expected goals scored per match.
Conversely, Newcastle has shown resilience and competence in their recent outings. With two wins in their last three games against Fulham and Nottingham Forest, they have been relatively solid at the back, conceding just one goal in two of these victories. Their average goals conceded per game stands at 0.5, complemented by two clean sheets. Newcastle's expected goals metrics suggest a slightly better offensive output compared to their actual goal tally, indicating potential for improvement.
Final Prediction
Newcastle's recent form and defensive solidity give them a significant edge over a struggling West Ham side. With Newcastle’s strong defensive record and West Ham's inability to score consistently, the visitors are well-positioned to exploit the home side's weaknesses. A key factor to watch during the game will be Newcastle's ability to convert their chances, as their expected goals suggest they may create more opportunities than they have recently capitalized on.