Premier League 2025-2026: West Ham vs Sunderland Prediction

West Ham

Home Team
59%
VS

Sunderland

Away Team
20%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 22 15 5 2 40 14 26 50
2 Man City 22 13 4 5 45 21 24 43
3 Aston Villa 22 13 4 5 33 25 8 43
4 Liverpool 22 10 6 6 33 29 4 36
5 Man United 22 9 8 5 38 32 6 35
6 Chelsea 22 9 7 6 36 24 12 34
7 Brentford 22 10 3 9 35 30 5 33
8 Newcastle 22 9 6 7 32 27 5 33
9 Sunderland 22 8 9 5 23 23 0 33
10 Everton 22 9 5 8 24 25 -1 32
11 Fulham 22 9 4 9 30 31 -1 31
12 Brighton 22 7 9 6 32 29 3 30
13 Crystal Palace 22 7 7 8 23 25 -2 28
14 Tottenham 22 7 6 9 31 29 2 27
15 Bournemouth 22 6 9 7 35 41 -6 27
16 Leeds 22 6 7 9 30 37 -7 25
17 Nott'm Forest 22 6 4 12 21 34 -13 22
18 West Ham 22 4 5 13 24 44 -20 17
19 Burnley 22 3 5 14 23 42 -19 14
20 Wolves 22 1 5 16 15 41 -26 8

Recent Trends

West Ham ✅ ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fulham (Goals: 0 - 1)

Sunderland ✅ ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

West Ham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.53
# Clean Sheets: 0

Sunderland

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.93
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.00
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between West Ham and Sunderland is predicted to favor the home side, with a 59.0% probability of a West Ham victory. The likelihood of Sunderland emerging victorious stands at 20.0%, while a draw is slightly more probable at 21.0%. The match is expected to see under 2.5 goals, with a 48.0% chance. Currently, West Ham languishes in 18th place in the Premier League, while Sunderland is in a more comfortable 9th position.

Match Analysis

In their last three outings, West Ham has experienced mixed fortunes. They secured an impressive away victory against Tottenham, but disappointing losses to Nottingham Forest and Wolves have hindered their momentum. The Hammers have a concerning trend of conceding goals, with an average of 2.0 goals conceded per game in the last five matches. Although they have been creating chances, as suggested by their expected goals of 1.36, defensive frailties remain a challenge. Sunderland's recent performances tell a story of inconsistency. They claimed a home win over Crystal Palace but suffered a heavy defeat away at Brentford. A draw against Tottenham demonstrated their ability to compete away from home. The Black Cats have struggled to find the back of the net, scoring an average of 0.4 goals per game over the last five matches. Their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game, yet they managed to keep a clean sheet in one recent match.

Final Prediction

West Ham holds the edge due to their home advantage and slightly superior recent form. Their ability to create more goal-scoring opportunities, as reflected in their expected goals metric, could be the key to unlocking Sunderland's defense. Fans should keep an eye on West Ham's attacking prowess, which could be the decisive factor in this encounter.