Premier League 2025-2026: Wolves vs Brentford Prediction

Wolves

Home Team
16%
VS

Brentford

Away Team
71%
Draw: 13%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Arsenal 16 11 3 2 30 10 20 36
2 Man City 16 11 1 4 38 16 22 34
3 Aston Villa 16 10 3 3 25 17 8 33
4 Chelsea 16 8 4 4 27 15 12 28
5 Crystal Palace 16 7 5 4 20 15 5 26
6 Man United 16 7 5 4 30 26 4 26
7 Liverpool 16 8 2 6 26 24 2 26
8 Sunderland 16 7 5 4 19 17 2 26
9 Everton 16 7 3 6 18 19 -1 24
10 Brighton 16 6 5 5 25 23 2 23
11 Tottenham 16 6 4 6 25 21 4 22
12 Newcastle 16 6 4 6 21 20 1 22
13 Bournemouth 16 5 6 5 25 28 -3 21
14 Fulham 16 6 2 8 23 26 -3 20
15 Brentford 16 6 2 8 22 25 -3 20
16 Nott'm Forest 16 5 3 8 17 25 -8 18
17 Leeds 16 4 4 8 20 30 -10 16
18 West Ham 16 3 4 9 19 32 -13 13
19 Burnley 16 3 1 12 18 33 -15 10
20 Wolves 16 0 2 14 9 35 -26 2

Recent Trends

Wolves ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 0 - 2)

Brentford ⚪ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Leeds (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Tottenham (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Arsenal (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Burnley (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Wolves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.91
# Clean Sheets: 0

Brentford

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.51
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.40
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Wolves and Brentford is poised to favor the away team, with Brentford holding a commanding 71.0% probability of victory. Wolves, languishing at the bottom of the Premier League table in 20th place, have only a 16.0% chance of securing a win. With the prediction leaning towards a result of over 2.5 goals, there’s a 50.0% probability of a high-scoring encounter. Brentford, positioned 15th in the league, aim to capitalize on their opponents' ongoing struggles.

Match Analysis

Wolves have been on a dismal run, losing their last three matches, including a narrow defeat against Arsenal and heavier losses to Manchester United and Nottingham Forest. Their recent form is underscored by a lack of clean sheets and an average of only 0.8 goals scored per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they have been porous, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match. Advanced metrics reveal that Wolves have been underperforming, with expected goals scored at 1.178 and expected goals conceded at 1.912. Brentford, while slightly better off, have also faced challenges, with a draw against Leeds and losses to Tottenham and Arsenal marking their recent fixtures. They have struggled in front of goal, averaging just 0.6 goals scored over their past five games, but their defensive record is somewhat better than Wolves, conceding 1.6 goals per game. Brentford's expected goals statistics show potential for improvement, with 1.51 expected goals scored and 1.404 expected goals conceded, suggesting they may be able to exploit Wolves' vulnerabilities.

Final Prediction

Brentford's edge in this matchup largely stems from Wolves' ongoing inability to secure wins or maintain a strong defensive record. With Brentford's slightly better form and statistical backing in expected goals, they appear well-positioned to take advantage of Wolves' frailties. A key factor to watch will be whether Brentford can convert their higher expected goals into actual goals and capitalize on Wolves' defensive lapses to secure the win.