Premier League 2024-2025: Wolves vs Brighton Prediction

Wolves

Home Team
33%
VS

Brighton

Away Team
45%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 50%
Under 2.5: 50%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 35 25 7 3 81 35 46 82
2 Arsenal 35 18 13 4 64 31 33 67
3 Man City 35 19 7 9 67 43 24 64
4 Newcastle 35 19 6 10 66 45 21 63
5 Chelsea 35 18 9 8 62 41 21 63
6 Nott'm Forest 35 18 7 10 54 42 12 61
7 Aston Villa 35 17 9 9 55 49 6 60
8 Bournemouth 35 14 11 10 55 42 13 53
9 Brentford 35 15 7 13 62 53 9 52
10 Brighton 35 13 13 9 57 56 1 52
11 Fulham 35 14 9 12 50 47 3 51
12 Crystal Palace 35 11 13 11 44 48 -4 46
13 Wolves 35 12 5 18 51 62 -11 41
14 Everton 35 8 15 12 36 43 -7 39
15 Man United 35 10 9 16 42 51 -9 39
16 Tottenham 35 11 5 19 63 57 6 38
17 West Ham 35 9 10 16 40 59 -19 37
18 Ipswich 35 4 10 21 35 76 -41 22
19 Leicester 35 5 6 24 29 76 -47 21
20 Southampton 35 2 5 28 25 82 -57 11

Recent Trends

Wolves ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Leicester (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Man United (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Tottenham (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ipswich (Goals: 2 - 1)

Brighton ⚪ ✅ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Newcastle (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs West Ham (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Leicester (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Wolves

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.53
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.44
# Clean Sheets: 2

Brighton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.93
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Wolves and Brighton sees Brighton as the likely winner with a 45.0% probability, compared to a 33.0% chance for Wolves. The match is also predicted to have over 2.5 goals with a 50.0% probability. Currently, Wolves sit in 13th position in the Premier League, whereas Brighton holds the 10th spot, reflecting a relatively even contest between the two mid-table teams.

Match Analysis

In their last three outings, Wolves have shown a mixed bag of performances. They secured a solid 3-0 victory against Leicester at home and a narrow 1-0 win away at Manchester United, but fell to a 1-0 defeat against Manchester City. Wolves have managed two clean sheets in their recent matches, suggesting a resilient defense when they are on form. Their average goals scored in the last five games stands at 2.0, compared to 1.0 goals conceded, showcasing their potential to both attack and defend effectively. Brighton, meanwhile, have experienced more variability in results. After a 1-1 draw with Newcastle and a thrilling 3-2 home victory over West Ham, they were handed a 4-2 defeat by Brentford. Brighton's recent form shows an offensive capability with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game but highlights defensive vulnerabilities, allowing an average of 3.0 goals against. They have not managed a clean sheet in their last five games, which could be a concern against a capable Wolves attack.

Final Prediction

Brighton's edge in this match could stem from their slightly superior league position and their higher attacking output, as indicated by their expected goals metric of 2.1. However, their leaky defense might provide Wolves with scoring opportunities. A key factor to watch will be Brighton's ability to tighten their defense against a Wolves team that has been finding the back of the net consistently in recent matches.