Serie A 2024-2025: Empoli vs Parma Prediction

Empoli

Home Team
31%
VS

Parma

Away Team
44%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 35 23 8 4 55 25 30 77
2 Inter 35 22 8 5 73 33 40 74
3 Atalanta 35 20 8 7 71 31 40 68
4 Juventus 35 16 15 4 52 32 20 63
5 Roma 35 18 9 8 50 32 18 63
6 Lazio 35 18 9 8 58 45 13 63
7 Bologna 35 16 14 5 53 38 15 62
8 Fiorentina 35 17 8 10 53 35 18 59
9 Milan 35 16 9 10 55 39 16 57
10 Como 35 12 9 14 45 48 -3 45
11 Torino 35 10 14 11 39 40 -1 44
12 Udinese 35 12 8 15 38 49 -11 44
13 Genoa 35 9 12 14 30 43 -13 39
14 Cagliari 35 8 9 18 36 51 -15 33
15 Verona 35 9 5 21 30 63 -33 32
16 Parma 35 6 14 15 40 54 -14 32
17 Lecce 35 6 9 20 24 57 -33 27
18 Venezia 35 4 14 17 28 49 -21 26
19 Empoli 35 4 13 18 27 55 -28 25
20 Monza 35 2 9 24 25 63 -38 15

Recent Trends

Empoli ❌ ❌ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 0)

Parma ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lazio (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Inter (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Empoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.52
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.66
# Clean Sheets: 1

Parma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.24
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Empoli and Parma holds a compelling edge in favor of the visiting team. With a 44.0% probability of winning, Parma stands as the predicted victor in this Serie A matchup. As the teams currently find themselves in the lower echelons of the league, Empoli is in 19th place, while Parma is slightly better off in 16th. Adding to the intrigue, the probability of the game featuring under 2.5 goals is 48.0%, suggesting a potentially tight and low-scoring affair.

Match Analysis

Looking at recent performances, Empoli has faced a challenging period with two losses and a draw in their last three matches. They suffered narrow defeats against Lazio and Fiorentina, and managed a 2-2 draw against Venezia at home. This has compounded their season-long struggle, reflected in their poor goal-scoring form, netting just 0.4 goals on average over the last five games while conceding 1.8. With just one clean sheet in these matches, their defense remains a significant area of concern. Parma, on the other hand, has shown a semblance of resilience, despite their position in the league. They come into this match with a mixed bag of results: a win against Juventus, a draw with Lazio, and a defeat to Como. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding only 0.8 goals on average in the last five matches, and they have managed to keep two clean sheets. Parma's slightly better offensive metrics, with an average of 0.6 goals scored per game, could prove crucial in exploiting Empoli's vulnerabilities.

Final Prediction

Parma's edge in this encounter stems from their slightly superior form and defensive solidity, which could be pivotal against an Empoli side struggling at both ends of the pitch. A key factor to watch will be whether Parma can capitalize on Empoli's defensive frailties and maintain their own defensive discipline to secure a vital three points.