Venezia
Serie B · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #18 of 20 43.9 expected pts · pre-season forecast
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date — the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played. Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
🏆 Final: #1 of 20 in Serie B 82 pts · 24W–10D–4L · GD +46
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Serie B simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Venezia?
On script 2025-26 · 33 predicted matches · backtest
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Venezia's results were 24.1% easier to call than the Serie B average. How this is measured.
| Market | Venezia | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 66.7% | 49.7% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 57.6% | 54.2% |
| Both teams to score | 54.5% | 52.7% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season. This season predates the club's live coverage, so the record comes from the launch backtest.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Serie B | #2 | 1518 | 1711 | 1711 |
| 2024-25 | Serie A | #18 | 1480 | 1483 | 1370 |
| 2023-24 | Serie B | #4 | 1576 | 1659 | 1591 |
| 2022-23 | Serie B | #6 | 1508 | 1588 | 1572 |
| 2021-22 | Serie A | #20 | 1480 | 1492 | 1329 |
| 2020-21 | Serie B | #6 | 1533 | 1605 | 1551 |
| 2019-20 | Serie B | #11 | 1426 | 1529 | 1520 |
| 2018-19 | Serie B | #17 | 1561 | 1561 | 1434 |
| 2017-18 | Serie B | #7 | 1498 | 1611 | 1562 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 08, 2026 | vs Palermo | W Venezia 55.0% · draw 26.7% | W ✓ |
| May 01, 2026 | at Spezia | W Venezia 53.8% · draw 24.4% | D ✗ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | vs Empoli | W Venezia 77.0% · draw 15.2% | W ✓ |
| Apr 18, 2026 | at Bari | W Venezia 64.7% · draw 19.5% | W ✓ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | at Virtus Entella | W Venezia 53.3% · draw 24.7% | D ✗ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | vs Juve Stabia | W Venezia 76.9% · draw 15.4% | W ✓ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | at Monza | W Venezia 41.1% · draw 29.8% | D ✗ |
| Mar 17, 2026 | vs Padova | W Venezia 85.8% · draw 10.0% | W ✓ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | at Sampdoria | W Venezia 55.1% · draw 24.1% | D ✗ |
| Mar 07, 2026 | vs Reggiana | W Venezia 83.1% · draw 11.8% | W ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/venezia">Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/serie_b"
width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
title="Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings — Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/venezia">Serie B title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>