Serie A 2024-2025: Fiorentina vs Empoli Prediction

Fiorentina

Home Team
75%
VS

Empoli

Away Team
11%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 33 21 8 4 72 32 40 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 52 25 27 71
3 Atalanta 33 19 7 7 66 30 36 64
4 Bologna 33 16 12 5 52 37 15 60
5 Juventus 33 15 14 4 49 31 18 59
6 Lazio 33 17 8 8 55 43 12 59
7 Roma 33 16 9 8 48 32 16 57
8 Fiorentina 33 16 8 9 51 33 18 56
9 Milan 33 14 9 10 51 38 13 51
10 Torino 33 10 13 10 38 37 1 43
11 Udinese 33 11 7 15 36 48 -12 40
12 Como 33 10 9 14 43 48 -5 39
13 Genoa 33 9 12 12 29 40 -11 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 30 60 -30 32
15 Parma 33 6 13 14 38 51 -13 31
16 Cagliari 33 7 9 17 33 49 -16 30
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 23 55 -32 26
18 Venezia 33 4 13 16 27 46 -19 25
19 Empoli 33 4 13 16 26 52 -26 25
20 Monza 33 2 9 22 25 57 -32 15

Recent Trends

Fiorentina ✅ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Juventus (Goals: 3 - 0)

Empoli ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Venezia (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Fiorentina

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.00
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.83
# Clean Sheets: 3

Empoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.67
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.58
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Fiorentina and Empoli is predicted to favor Fiorentina, with an impressive 75.0% probability of a home victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 14.0%, while Empoli's chances of an away win are a mere 11.0%. Given the Serie A standings, Fiorentina is currently holding the 8th position, while Empoli is struggling in the relegation zone, positioned 19th. The game is anticipated to be a low-scoring affair, with a 47.0% probability of fewer than 2.5 goals being scored.

Match Analysis

Fiorentina enters this match with a mixed bag of results from their last three games. They secured a crucial away victory against Cagliari and managed two draws against Parma and Milan. Notably, Fiorentina has demonstrated strong defensive capabilities, with 3 clean sheets in their last 5 matches. Their average goals scored is 1.0, and they concede only 0.4 goals per game, showcasing a solid defensive front. Empoli, on the other hand, has been struggling to find form. They have drawn two of their last three games, against Venezia and Cagliari, and suffered a heavy defeat to Napoli. Empoli's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, while their scoring rate is a low 0.4 goals on average. Despite their expected goals data suggesting they create opportunities, their inability to convert these chances has been a significant issue.

Final Prediction

Fiorentina's superior defensive record and recent form give them a distinct edge in this matchup. Their ability to maintain clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities will likely prove decisive against an Empoli side struggling at both ends of the pitch. Keep an eye on Fiorentina's defensive setup, which could be key in maintaining their strong position in Serie A and securing a vital home win.