Serie A 2025-2026: Genoa vs Inter Prediction
Genoa
Home Team
7%
VS
Inter
Away Team
86%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Napoli | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
| 3 | Inter | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 30 |
| 4 | Roma | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Bologna | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 25 |
| 6 | Como | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Cremonese | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 20 |
| 10 | Lazio | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 19 |
| 11 | Udinese | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Genoa | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Parma | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Torino | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 14 |
| 17 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 13 |
| 18 | Pisa | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
| 19 | Verona | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 14 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Genoa
- Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cagliari (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 1)
Inter
- Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Pisa (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Genoa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.82
# Clean Sheets:
0
Inter
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.20
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
Inter is predicted to secure a victory against Genoa with a commanding 86.0% probability. The clash is expected to remain tight in terms of goals, with a 45.0% chance of staying under 2.5 goals. As it stands, Inter occupies the 3rd position in Serie A, while Genoa sits at 14th, emphasizing the difference in their current league standings.
Match Analysis
In recent encounters, Genoa has shown a commendable fighting spirit, securing victories against both Udinese and Verona, and drawing with Cagliari. Despite these results, they have struggled defensively, conceding goals consistently with no clean sheets in their last five matches. Their offensive output, while improved in the last few games, still leaves room for enhancement, aligning with their average of 0.8 goals per game.
Inter, on the other hand, has been a force to reckon with, winning two of their last three matches, including a dominant 4-0 win against Como. They have shown defensive resilience, achieving clean sheets in three of their last five matches. Offensively, they average 1.6 goals per game, reflecting their potent attacking capabilities, further supported by an impressive expected goals figure of 2.036.
Final Prediction
Inter's superior form and defensive solidity give them a significant edge over Genoa. Their ability to both score and prevent goals consistently will be crucial. A key factor to watch is Inter's strong defensive organization, which, if maintained, could stifle Genoa's efforts and secure all three points for the visitors.