Serie A 2025-2026: Juventus vs Roma Prediction

Juventus

Home Team
58%
VS

Roma

Away Team
21%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 15 11 0 4 34 14 20 33
2 Milan 15 9 5 1 24 13 11 32
3 Napoli 15 10 1 4 22 13 9 31
4 Roma 15 10 0 5 16 8 8 30
5 Juventus 15 7 5 3 19 14 5 26
6 Bologna 15 7 4 4 23 13 10 25
7 Como 15 6 6 3 19 12 7 24
8 Lazio 15 6 4 5 17 11 6 22
9 Sassuolo 15 6 3 6 21 19 2 21
10 Udinese 15 6 3 6 16 22 -6 21
11 Cremonese 15 5 5 5 18 18 0 20
12 Atalanta 15 4 7 4 19 18 1 19
13 Torino 15 4 5 6 15 26 -11 17
14 Lecce 15 4 4 7 11 19 -8 16
15 Cagliari 15 3 5 7 15 21 -6 14
16 Genoa 15 3 5 7 16 23 -7 14
17 Parma 15 3 5 7 10 18 -8 14
18 Verona 15 2 6 7 13 22 -9 12
19 Pisa 15 1 7 7 10 20 -10 10
20 Fiorentina 15 0 6 9 12 26 -14 6

Recent Trends

Juventus ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 0)

Roma ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Cremonese (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.84
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.87
# Clean Sheets: 2

Roma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.52
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.70
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Given the current standings in Serie A, Juventus is predicted to come out on top with a 58.0% probability of winning against Roma, who have a 21.0% chance of securing victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 21.0%. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a probability of under 2.5 goals at 52.0%. Juventus is currently in 5th place with 26 points, while Roma is slightly ahead in 4th place with 30 points.

Match Analysis

Juventus has shown a mixed performance in their recent outings. They secured wins against Bologna and Cagliari, but suffered a loss to Napoli. Their defense has been relatively solid, with an average of 0.6 goals conceded per game over the last five matches and two clean sheets. Offensively, Juventus has averaged 1.2 goals per game, with an expected goals figure of 1.838, indicating they might have been slightly unlucky in converting chances. Roma, on the other hand, has faced a couple of setbacks, losing to both Cagliari and Napoli, but managed to edge out a victory against Como. Their defensive metrics show an average of 0.8 goals conceded per game, with two clean sheets in their last five matches. Roma's attack has also averaged 1.2 goals per game, with expected goals of 1.524, suggesting potential inefficiencies in front of goal.

Final Prediction

Juventus' edge in this matchup could stem from their solid defensive performances and the advantage of playing at home. Their ability to maintain clean sheets and slightly higher expected goals could play a crucial role in securing the win. A key factor to watch will be Juventus' ability to convert their chances, as this could determine the outcome in what is expected to be a tightly contested match.