Serie A 2024-2025: Lazio vs Juventus Prediction

Lazio

Home Team
48%
VS

Juventus

Away Team
28%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 35 23 8 4 55 25 30 77
2 Inter 35 22 8 5 73 33 40 74
3 Atalanta 35 20 8 7 71 31 40 68
4 Juventus 35 16 15 4 52 32 20 63
5 Roma 35 18 9 8 50 32 18 63
6 Lazio 35 18 9 8 58 45 13 63
7 Bologna 35 16 14 5 53 38 15 62
8 Fiorentina 35 17 8 10 53 35 18 59
9 Milan 35 16 9 10 55 39 16 57
10 Como 35 12 9 14 45 48 -3 45
11 Torino 35 10 14 11 39 40 -1 44
12 Udinese 35 12 8 15 38 49 -11 44
13 Genoa 35 9 12 14 30 43 -13 39
14 Cagliari 35 8 9 18 36 51 -15 33
15 Verona 35 9 5 21 30 63 -33 32
16 Parma 35 6 14 15 40 54 -14 32
17 Lecce 35 6 9 20 24 57 -33 27
18 Venezia 35 4 14 17 28 49 -21 26
19 Empoli 35 4 13 18 27 55 -28 25
20 Monza 35 2 9 24 25 63 -38 15

Recent Trends

Lazio ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Atalanta (Goals: 1 - 0)

Juventus ⚪ ✅ ❌ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lazio

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.51
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.75
# Clean Sheets: 3

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.05
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.66
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Lazio and Juventus is predicted to lean in favor of the home team, Lazio, with a 48.0% probability of victory. On the other hand, Juventus has a 28.0% chance of securing a win, making a draw a plausible outcome with a 24.0% likelihood. With both teams standing at 63 points in the Serie A table, Lazio ranks 6th while Juventus is slightly ahead at 4th due to goal difference. Additionally, there is a 49.0% probability that the match will have fewer than 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Lazio's recent form has been relatively strong, with two wins and a draw in their last three outings. Notable victories against Empoli and Genoa have been accompanied by a solid defensive display, as reflected by their three clean sheets in the last five matches. Their average goals scored and conceded in the last five games both stand at 1.4, but their expected goals conceded is notably lower at 0.748, suggesting a robust defense. Conversely, Juventus's recent performances have been a mix of inconsistency. A win against Monza was overshadowed by a draw with Bologna and a surprising loss to Parma. Juventus's goal-scoring form has been lackluster, with an average of just 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches. Their defensive play has been slightly better, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. However, their expected goals conceded is a low 0.656, indicating that they may have been unlucky in some defensive situations.

Final Prediction

Lazio's edge in this encounter could be attributed to their more consistent recent performances and defensive solidity, as evidenced by their clean sheets. A key factor to watch during the game will be Lazio's ability to capitalize on their sturdy defense and convert their chances, as Juventus will need to break through a well-organized backline to secure points.