Serie A 2025-2026: Lazio vs Napoli Prediction
Lazio
Home Team
15%
VS
Napoli
Away Team
70%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5:
43%
Under 2.5:
57%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 36 |
| 2 | Milan | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | Roma | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 33 |
| 5 | Juventus | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Como | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 27 |
| 7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
| 8 | Lazio | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 24 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Atalanta | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
| 11 | Udinese | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 22 |
| 12 | Cremonese | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
| 13 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 20 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 | Parma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 14 |
| 18 | Verona | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 11 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 9 |
Recent Trends
Lazio
- Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 1)
Napoli
- Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 3 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Lazio
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.93
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.04
# Clean Sheets:
2
Napoli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.08
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
In the upcoming Serie A match between Lazio and Napoli, the odds significantly favor Napoli with a 70% probability of winning, compared to a mere 15% chance for Lazio. The likelihood of the game ending in a draw stands at 14%. With both teams showing a tendency for low-scoring games recently, the predicted outcome is under 2.5 goals. Currently, Napoli is sitting comfortably in 3rd place in the league standings, while Lazio is positioned at 8th.
Match Analysis
Lazio’s recent performances have been a mix of results, with a win against Parma but two consecutive draws against Udinese and Cremonese. They have shown defensive resilience, conceding only one goal in their last three outings and securing two clean sheets. Their average goals scored in the last five games is 1.2, slightly better than Napoli, yet their expected goals metric suggests they may struggle to convert chances.
On the other hand, Napoli has shown a stronger form, with two wins in their last three matches, including an impressive victory against Juventus. Although they lost to Udinese, their defensive solidity is evident, having conceded just 0.6 goals on average in their last five matches. Napoli’s expected goals scored (1.246) highlight their attacking potential, which could be a decisive factor against Lazio’s defense.
Final Prediction
Napoli is favored to win due to their superior league position and recent form. Their ability to score crucial goals and maintain a solid defense gives them an advantage. A key factor to watch will be Napoli’s offense, as their higher expected goals could test Lazio’s backline, potentially influencing the outcome in Napoli’s favor.