Cremonese
Serie A · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #18 of 20 in Serie A 34 pts · 8W–10D–20L · GD -25
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Cremonese?
On script 2025-26 · 32 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Cremonese's results were 14.9% easier to call than the Serie A average. How this is measured.
| Market | Cremonese | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 65.6% | 52.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 65.6% | 51.9% |
| Both teams to score | 62.5% | 50.3% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Serie A | #18 | 1529 | 1542 | 1386 |
| 2024-25 | Serie B | #3 | 1546 | 1629 | 1609 |
| 2023-24 | Serie B | #5 | 1566 | 1673 | 1585 |
| 2022-23 | Serie A | #17 | 1482 | 1482 | 1393 |
| 2021-22 | Serie B | #6 | 1543 | 1682 | 1589 |
| 2020-21 | Serie B | #12 | 1493 | 1550 | 1520 |
| 2019-20 | Serie B | #8 | 1555 | 1555 | 1535 |
| 2018-19 | Serie B | #5 | 1435 | 1574 | 1542 |
| 2017-18 | Serie B | #19 | 1482 | 1584 | 1421 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | at Udinese | L Cremonese 20.2% · draw 20.3% | W ✗ |
| May 10, 2026 | vs Pisa | W Cremonese 38.4% · draw 25.2% | W ✓ |
| May 04, 2026 | vs Lazio | L Cremonese 30.2% · draw 24.7% | L ✓ |
| Apr 24, 2026 | at Napoli | L Cremonese 14.8% · draw 16.2% | L ✓ |
| Apr 19, 2026 | vs Torino | L Cremonese 27.3% · draw 23.1% | D ✗ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | at Cagliari | L Cremonese 20.9% · draw 20.8% | L ✓ |
| Apr 05, 2026 | vs Bologna | L Cremonese 23.9% · draw 21.2% | L ✓ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | at Parma | L Cremonese 23.8% · draw 22.7% | W ✗ |
| Mar 16, 2026 | vs Fiorentina | L Cremonese 22.9% · draw 20.6% | L ✓ |
| Mar 08, 2026 | at Lecce | L Cremonese 22.3% · draw 21.8% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/cremonese">Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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