Serie A 2025-2026: Milan vs Pisa Prediction
Milan
Home Team
96%
VS
Pisa
Away Team
1%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5:
46%
Under 2.5:
54%
Goal:
47%
No Goal:
53%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Inter | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Bologna | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Como | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Udinese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Lazio | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Torino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Genoa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Pisa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Milan
- Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 0)
Pisa
- Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Milan
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.55
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.94
# Clean Sheets:
3
Pisa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.19
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.31
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Milan and Pisa is heavily tipped in favor of Milan, with an overwhelming 96.0% probability of a home victory. Milan, currently leading Serie A, is expected to comfortably secure the win against Pisa, who are at the bottom of the table. With a predicted result of fewer than 2.5 goals in the game, it is anticipated to be a low-scoring affair, highlighting the defensive strength of Milan.
Match Analysis
Milan enters this match on a positive note, having secured two wins and a draw in their last three encounters. They managed a remarkable victory over Napoli and a solid performance against Fiorentina while holding Juventus to a draw away from home. Milan's defensive resilience is evident with three clean sheets in their last five matches, conceding only an average of 1.0 goals per game. Their expected goals metrics also support their attacking and defensive balance, with 1.5525 expected goals scored and 0.9425 expected goals conceded per game.
Conversely, Pisa's form has been less encouraging. They have failed to score in their last three matches, resulting in two draws and a heavy 4-0 loss to Bologna. Their average goals conceded over the last five games stands at a concerning 2.67, showcasing vulnerabilities in their defense. Despite achieving two clean sheets, Pisa's struggle to find the back of the net, with only 1.0 goals scored on average, underscores their challenge in translating opportunities into goals.
Final Prediction
Milan's position at the top of the Serie A table, combined with their recent form and defensive solidity, gives them a significant edge in this fixture. Pisa's current struggles with scoring and defensive frailties make it an uphill battle for them. A key factor to watch in this match will be Milan's ability to capitalize on Pisa's defensive lapses, potentially influencing the scoreline despite the prediction of a low-scoring game.