Serie A 2025-2026: Pisa vs Parma Prediction
Pisa
Home Team
41%
VS
Parma
Away Team
33%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5:
50%
Under 2.5:
50%
Goal:
52%
No Goal:
48%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Napoli | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
| 3 | Inter | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 27 |
| 4 | Roma | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Como | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Bologna | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 24 |
| 7 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
| 8 | Lazio | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Udinese | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
| 13 | Torino | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 14 |
| 14 | Lecce | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Genoa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | Pisa | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 |
| 20 | Verona | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Pisa
- Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sassuolo (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cremonese (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 0)
Parma
- Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Pisa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.29
# Clean Sheets:
2
Parma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.25
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The clash between Pisa and Parma leans slightly in favor of the home team, with a 41.0% chance of Pisa emerging victorious. The probability of Parma winning stands at 33.0%, while a draw is projected at 26.0%. Both teams are languishing in the lower echelons of Serie A, with Pisa occupying the 18th spot and Parma just one position above them, in 17th. Given the predicted result, fans can expect a match with fewer than 2.5 goals, as the likelihood of a high-scoring affair is evenly split at 50.0%.
Match Analysis
Pisa's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a notable victory against Cremonese, a draw against Sassuolo, and a loss to Inter. Their defense has been relatively sturdy, managing two clean sheets in their last five matches. However, their attacking prowess remains questionable, averaging only 0.2 goals per game in that span. Advanced metrics suggest Pisa is generating chances with an average of 1.038 expected goals per game, but their conversion rate leaves much to be desired.
On the other hand, Parma has shown a bit more attacking flair, scoring in two of their last three games, including a commendable draw against league leaders Milan. Despite their ability to find the net, Parma's defense has been leaky, conceding an average of one goal per game. They have yet to secure a clean sheet in their previous five outings, which may expose vulnerabilities against a Pisa side looking to capitalize. Parma's expected goals metric is slightly higher than Pisa's at 1.122, indicating their potential to create and score chances.
Final Prediction
Pisa holds a slight edge in this encounter, primarily due to their solid defensive displays and the home advantage. Their ability to maintain clean sheets could be pivotal against a Parma side that struggles defensively. The key factor to watch will be Pisa's ability to convert opportunities into goals, potentially tipping the balance in their favor. The outcome may hinge on whether Parma can tighten their defense and capitalize on their marginally superior attacking metrics.