Sassuolo
Serie A · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #10 of 20 51.2 expected pts · pre-season forecast
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date — the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played. Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #11 of 20 in Serie A 49 pts · 14W–7D–17L · GD -4
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Sassuolo?
Chaos club 2025-26 · 32 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Sassuolo's results were 10.8% harder to call than the Serie A average. How this is measured.
| Market | Sassuolo | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 46.9% | 52.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 46.9% | 51.9% |
| Both teams to score | 62.5% | 50.3% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Serie A | #12 | 1467 | 1533 | 1470 |
| 2024-25 | Serie B | #1 | 1503 | 1716 | 1623 |
| 2023-24 | Serie A | #19 | 1467 | 1532 | 1346 |
| 2022-23 | Serie A | #14 | 1478 | 1545 | 1438 |
| 2021-22 | Serie A | #9 | 1529 | 1556 | 1501 |
| 2020-21 | Serie A | #6 | 1498 | 1599 | 1581 |
| 2019-20 | Serie A | #9 | 1482 | 1588 | 1517 |
| 2018-19 | Serie A | #14 | 1518 | 1570 | 1437 |
| 2017-18 | Serie A | #10 | 1498 | 1512 | 1494 |
| 2016-17 | Serie A | #10 | 1529 | 1529 | 1497 |
| 2015-16 | Serie A | #4 | 1544 | 1582 | 1582 |
| 2014-15 | Serie A | #11 | 1498 | 1531 | 1510 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | vs Lecce | W Sassuolo 55.5% · draw 21.9% | L ✗ |
| May 08, 2026 | at Torino | L Sassuolo 32.3% · draw 26.7% | L ✓ |
| May 03, 2026 | vs Milan | L Sassuolo 21.2% · draw 19.5% | W ✗ |
| Apr 26, 2026 | at Fiorentina | L Sassuolo 23.5% · draw 22.5% | D ✗ |
| Apr 17, 2026 | vs Como | L Sassuolo 21.6% · draw 19.7% | W ✗ |
| Apr 12, 2026 | at Genoa | L Sassuolo 28.4% · draw 25.5% | L ✓ |
| Apr 04, 2026 | vs Cagliari | W Sassuolo 49.6% · draw 23.9% | W ✓ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | at Juventus | L Sassuolo 9.9% · draw 12.0% | D ✗ |
| Mar 15, 2026 | vs Bologna | L Sassuolo 24.8% · draw 21.7% | L ✓ |
| Mar 09, 2026 | at Lazio | L Sassuolo 23.2% · draw 22.3% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/sassuolo">Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/serie_a"
width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
title="Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings — Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/sassuolo">Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>