Serie A 2025-2026: Sassuolo vs Roma Prediction
Sassuolo
Home Team
16%
VS
Roma
Away Team
70%
Draw: 15%
Over 2.5:
41%
Under 2.5:
59%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Inter | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Bologna | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Como | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Udinese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Lazio | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Torino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Genoa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Pisa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Sassuolo
- Last Match: vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 0)
Roma
- Last Match: vs Inter (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Sassuolo
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.28
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.20
# Clean Sheets:
3
Roma
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.82
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
Based on current statistics, Roma is predicted to win their upcoming match against Sassuolo, with a strong 70% probability. Sassuolo has only a 16% chance of securing a victory, while the likelihood of a draw stands at 15%. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, aligning with the defensive strengths both teams have shown. Currently, Roma holds the 4th position in Serie A, while Sassuolo is positioned 9th.
Match Analysis
Sassuolo's recent form has seen a mix of results, with a win against Verona and Udinese, but a goalless draw against Lecce. Their defense has been relatively solid, with three clean sheets in their last five games. However, their goal-scoring has been modest, averaging 1.33 goals per match. This reflects their average expected goals of 1.28, indicating a need for improved offensive efficiency.
On the other hand, Roma's performance has been more consistent, with two wins in their last three outings, including a victory over Fiorentina and Verona. Their defense has been notably strong, conceding just once over the last three games and maintaining two clean sheets in their last five matches. Roma's ability to keep opponents at bay is highlighted by their average of 0.33 goals conceded per game, well supported by their expected goals conceded metric of 0.82.
Final Prediction
Roma's robust defense, coupled with Sassuolo's moderate attacking form, gives Roma a significant edge in this match. The defensive discipline of Roma, highlighted by their low goals conceded and clean sheets, will be crucial. Fans should keep an eye on Roma's ability to maintain their defensive structure throughout the game, which could prove decisive in securing a victory.