Serie A 2024-2025: Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction

Venezia

Home Team
27%
VS

Fiorentina

Away Team
53%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 35 23 8 4 55 25 30 77
2 Inter 35 22 8 5 73 33 40 74
3 Atalanta 35 20 8 7 71 31 40 68
4 Juventus 35 16 15 4 52 32 20 63
5 Roma 35 18 9 8 50 32 18 63
6 Lazio 35 18 9 8 58 45 13 63
7 Bologna 35 16 14 5 53 38 15 62
8 Fiorentina 35 17 8 10 53 35 18 59
9 Milan 35 16 9 10 55 39 16 57
10 Como 35 12 9 14 45 48 -3 45
11 Torino 35 10 14 11 39 40 -1 44
12 Udinese 35 12 8 15 38 49 -11 44
13 Genoa 35 9 12 14 30 43 -13 39
14 Cagliari 35 8 9 18 36 51 -15 33
15 Verona 35 9 5 21 30 63 -33 32
16 Parma 35 6 14 15 40 54 -14 32
17 Lecce 35 6 9 20 24 57 -33 27
18 Venezia 35 4 14 17 28 49 -21 26
19 Empoli 35 4 13 18 27 55 -28 25
20 Monza 35 2 9 24 25 63 -38 15

Recent Trends

Venezia ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Empoli (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 1)

Fiorentina ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Empoli (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Cagliari (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Venezia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.07
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.08
# Clean Sheets: 1

Fiorentina

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.35
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.39
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Fiorentina is predicted to win this encounter with a 53.0% probability, while Venezia has a 27.0% chance of securing a victory. The likelihood of a draw stands at 20.0%. Given these probabilities, the match is expected to conclude with under 2.5 goals. Currently, Fiorentina holds the 8th position in Serie A, while Venezia is struggling in 18th place, fighting to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

Venezia's recent form has been a mixed bag, with a record of two draws and one loss in their last three matches. They managed to hold Torino and Empoli to draws, both away from home, but suffered a defeat against Milan at home. Despite these efforts, Venezia has been struggling offensively, averaging just 0.2 goals per game in their last five outings. Their defense, however, has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per game, with one clean sheet in these matches. Fiorentina, on the other hand, has shown more promising form. After a narrow loss to Roma, they bounced back with two consecutive victories against Empoli and Cagliari. Fiorentina's attack has been more productive, averaging 1.0 goals per game, and they have shown resilience by clawing back to win despite conceding. Their expected goals metrics indicate a potential for more scoring, with 1.346 expected goals per game, hinting at an ability to create chances that could be crucial against Venezia's defense.

Final Prediction

Fiorentina's improved form and superior league standing give them the edge in this matchup against Venezia. Their ability to create scoring opportunities, as evidenced by their expected goals statistics, will be a key factor to watch. If Fiorentina capitalizes on Venezia's defensive vulnerabilities, they are likely to secure the win and strengthen their position in the league.