Serie A 2024-2025: Venezia vs Milan Prediction

Venezia

Home Team
10%
VS

Milan

Away Team
82%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 33 21 8 4 72 32 40 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 52 25 27 71
3 Atalanta 33 19 7 7 66 30 36 64
4 Bologna 33 16 12 5 52 37 15 60
5 Juventus 33 15 14 4 49 31 18 59
6 Lazio 33 17 8 8 55 43 12 59
7 Roma 33 16 9 8 48 32 16 57
8 Fiorentina 33 16 8 9 51 33 18 56
9 Milan 33 14 9 10 51 38 13 51
10 Torino 33 10 13 10 38 37 1 43
11 Udinese 33 11 7 15 36 48 -12 40
12 Como 33 10 9 14 43 48 -5 39
13 Genoa 33 9 12 12 29 40 -11 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 30 60 -30 32
15 Parma 33 6 13 14 38 51 -13 31
16 Cagliari 33 7 9 17 33 49 -16 30
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 23 55 -32 26
18 Venezia 33 4 13 16 27 46 -19 25
19 Empoli 33 4 13 16 26 52 -26 25
20 Monza 33 2 9 22 25 57 -32 15

Recent Trends

Venezia ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Empoli (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Monza (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Lecce (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Bologna (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 0)

Milan ❌ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Udinese (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Como (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Venezia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.05
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.22
# Clean Sheets: 2

Milan

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.13
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Serie A match between Venezia and Milan is heavily tilted towards the visitors. With an 82% probability of an away win, Milan stands as the clear favorite. The game is also expected to see more than 2.5 goals, with a 55% probability backing this outcome. Venezia currently finds itself in a precarious 18th position, while Milan is positioned 9th, fighting to climb higher in the standings.

Match Analysis

Venezia enters this clash with a mixed bag of recent performances. They achieved a crucial home victory against Monza, but have drawn their other two matches against Empoli and Lecce. Despite their struggles, Venezia has managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five matches, showcasing some defensive resilience. However, their average goals scored per game (0.2) remains a concern, potentially limiting their ability to challenge Milan offensively. Milan, on the other hand, has shown a more consistent attacking prowess, averaging two goals per game in their last five outings. Their recent performance includes a dominant 4-0 away victory against Udinese. Despite a setback against Atalanta, where they lost 1-0 at home, Milan's attacking metrics remain strong, with an average of 2.356 expected goals per game. Defensively, Milan has been somewhat leaky, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game, which could be a point of vulnerability if not addressed.

Final Prediction

Milan's superior attacking form and higher league position give them a distinct advantage in this fixture against Venezia. Their ability to consistently create and convert goal-scoring opportunities is a key factor that could see them secure a victory. Fans should keep an eye on Milan's offensive tactics and how Venezia's defense copes with the threat posed by the visitors.