NBA 2025-2026: Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

Memphis Grizzlies

Home Team
55.6%
111.4 pts
VS

Sacramento Kings

Away Team
44.4%
107.2 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Memphis Grizzlies are predicted to edge out the Sacramento Kings with a 55.6% probability, and a projected final score of 111.4 to 107.2. The expected starting five for the Grizzlies includes Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Vince Williams Jr., Santi Aldama, and Zach Edey. On the other hand, the Kings will likely start Russell Westbrook, Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan, Keegan Murray, and Domantas Sabonis.

Game Analysis

Both teams are coming into this matchup on a losing streak, with the Grizzlies dropping their last three games against the Spurs, Cavaliers, and Celtics. Notably, they struggled offensively, failing to surpass 101 points in any of these contests and were defensively porous, notably conceding 131 points to the Celtics. Meanwhile, the Kings also have a trio of losses, albeit scoring slightly better with over 99 points in each game, yet their defense allowed over 110 points in all three outings. Analyzing the average ratings and points made, the Grizzlies' starting lineup presents a mixed bag. Cedric Coward stands out with a high offensive rating of 128.8, contributing an average of 14.33 points. However, overall, the team shows some defensive vulnerabilities, as seen with Jaylen Wells' and Vince Williams Jr.'s defensive ratings. On the Kings' side, Zach LaVine leads with an impressive 21.54 points per game, backed by strong performances from DeRozan and Sabonis. However, defensive ratings suggest potential weaknesses that Memphis could exploit.

Final Prediction

The Grizzlies are favored to win due to a slightly stronger predicted offensive output and the home court advantage. Watch out for Cedric Coward's performance as a potential game-changer for Memphis, especially if he can maintain his high offensive efficiency against Sacramento's defense.