NBA 2025-2026: Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction

Denver Nuggets

Home Team
52.4%
122.0 pts
VS

Houston Rockets

Away Team
47.6%
114.6 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Denver Nuggets are predicted to edge out the Houston Rockets with a 52.4% probability, expecting a close contest with a final score around 122.0 to 114.6. Denver's anticipated starting lineup features Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones, Cameron Johnson, and Nikola Jokić. The Rockets will likely counter with Josh Okogie, Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, and Alperen Şengün.

Game Analysis

The Denver Nuggets come into this matchup riding a three-game winning streak. They've shown dominance in their recent outings, especially in a commanding 136-105 victory over the Sacramento Kings. Nikola Jokić has been instrumental, averaging 29.46 points and boasting an impressive offensive rating of 145.2, which could pose significant challenges for the Rockets' defense. Jamal Murray also complements the offensive firepower with an offensive rating of 126.0 and an average of 24.43 points per game. The Houston Rockets, meanwhile, have displayed a mixed bag of results, with recent victories against the Clippers and Suns, but a loss to the Mavericks. Kevin Durant and Alperen Şengün have been pivotal, with Durant averaging 24.8 points and Şengün contributing 23.0 points per game. The Rockets' starting five presents a decent offensive rating, collectively capable of putting up a fight against Denver's sturdy defense. Both teams possess potent offensive units, with Denver's starting five averaging higher offensive ratings. However, Denver’s defensive ratings, particularly Jokić's at 111.7, suggest they may manage to contain Houston's threats more effectively than vice versa. The Rockets will need their defensive ratings, notably Şengün's at 110.8, to hold strong against Denver's offensive barrage.

Final Prediction

The Denver Nuggets have a slight edge due to their recent form and the standout performances of Nikola Jokić, whose offensive prowess could be crucial in overcoming the Rockets. Keep an eye on the battle between Jokić and Şengün, as their performances will likely be a key determinant in the game's outcome.