NBA 2025-2026: Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

Indiana Pacers

Home Team
35.5%
107.0 pts
VS

Milwaukee Bucks

Away Team
64.5%
110.2 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Milwaukee Bucks are predicted to edge out the Indiana Pacers with a 64.5% probability of winning, and a projected scoreline of 110.2 to 107.0 in favor of the Bucks. The expected starting five for Indiana includes Andrew Nembhard, Ethan Thompson, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam, and Jay Huff. For the Bucks, the starters are A.J. Green, Kevin Porter Jr., Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzma, and Myles Turner.

Game Analysis

Both teams enter this matchup on the backdrops of losing streaks. The Indiana Pacers have recently succumbed to losses against the Boston Celtics, New Orleans Pelicans, and New York Knicks, with their closest contest being a narrow one-point defeat against the Knicks. Despite these setbacks, Pascal Siakam stands out with an impressive average of 23.8 points, offering a beacon of hope for the Pacers. Conversely, the Milwaukee Bucks have also faced a challenging period, with losses to the Minnesota Timberwolves, Toronto Raptors, and a heavy defeat to the Brooklyn Nets. Kevin Porter Jr. has been a bright spot for the Bucks, averaging 20 points per game, and could be pivotal in breaking their losing streak. Examining the starting lineups, Indiana’s Pascal Siakam boasts the strongest offensive rating at 113.8, but the team's defensive ratings are generally weaker compared to Milwaukee. The Bucks feature A.J. Green and Kevin Porter Jr., who bring robust offensive ratings of 125.9 and 127.2, respectively. Defensively, Myles Turner provides balance with a defensive rating of 116.0, which could be crucial in countering Indiana’s scoring threats.

Final Prediction

The Milwaukee Bucks are favored to win due to their superior offensive capabilities and balanced defensive efforts, particularly with Kevin Porter Jr.’s scoring prowess. A key factor to watch during the game will be how Indiana's defense manages to contain the offensive firepower of the Bucks, especially given their recent struggles in close games.