Milwaukee Bucks
Eastern Conference · ELO profile, season simulation & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per game day: the team's ELO rating after that day's result, including playoffs. NBA ratings are season-scoped in our engine (every team re-seeds at 1500 each October, then the rating updates after every game), so trajectories are shown one season at a time and seasons are compared through their peak and final values in the table below. Hover a point for the date and the team's league-wide ELO position.
How predictable are the Milwaukee Bucks?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 76 predicted games
We grade every game forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade, with bigger penalties the more confident we were. Averaged over the season, the Milwaukee Bucks were 6.9% harder to call than the NBA average. How this is measured.
| Season | Games | Winner acc | NBA avg | Confident calls (≥65%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 76 | 61.8% | 67.4% | 75.0% (NBA 80.1%) |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 71.6% | 67.3% | 74.3% (NBA 75.5%) |
Share of predicted games our published game-day prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average of the same season. In 2025-26 the Milwaukee Bucks won 3 games as a clear underdog (we gave them under 35%) and lost 4 as a clear favorite (65% or more).
Season by season
| Season | GP | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | #22 | 1510 | 1531 | 1386 |
| 2024-25 | 87 | #11 | 1512 | 1589 | 1563 |
| 2023-24 | 88 | #18 | 1509 | 1616 | 1519 |
| 2022-23 | 87 | #4 | 1511 | 1670 | 1594 |
| 2021-22 | 94 | #7 | 1511 | 1626 | 1606 |
| 2020-21 | 95 | #1 | 1491 | 1694 | 1694 |
| 2019-20 | 83 | #6 | 1511 | 1727 | 1608 |
| 2018-19 | 97 | #3 | 1511 | 1713 | 1667 |
| 2017-18 | 89 | #15 | 1511 | 1552 | 1520 |
| 2016-17 | 88 | #14 | 1488 | 1549 | 1510 |
| 2015-16 | 82 | #24 | 1487 | 1507 | 1417 |
| 2014-15 | 88 | #19 | 1491 | 1557 | 1474 |
| 2013-14 | 82 | #30 | 1490 | 1501 | 1270 |
| 2012-13 | 86 | #22 | 1511 | 1535 | 1424 |
| 2011-12 | 66 | #18 | 1491 | 1521 | 1480 |
| 2010-11 | 82 | #19 | 1491 | 1510 | 1468 |
| 2009-10 | 89 | #13 | 1490 | 1591 | 1569 |
| 2008-09 | 82 | #22 | 1490 | 1511 | 1421 |
| 2007-08 | 82 | #29 | 1489 | 1532 | 1314 |
| 2006-07 | 82 | #30 | 1511 | 1526 | 1351 |
| 2005-06 | 87 | #19 | 1511 | 1543 | 1466 |
| 2004-05 | 82 | #25 | 1491 | 1517 | 1375 |
| 2003-04 | 87 | #19 | 1490 | 1550 | 1459 |
| 2002-03 | 88 | #15 | 1490 | 1546 | 1495 |
| 2001-02 | 82 | #21 | 1511 | 1592 | 1442 |
| 2000-01 | 100 | #5 | 1491 | 1635 | 1605 |
| 1999-00 | 87 | #14 | 1511 | 1544 | 1520 |
| 1998-99 | 53 | #16 | 1511 | 1557 | 1506 |
| 1997-98 | 82 | #22 | 1512 | 1533 | 1439 |
| 1996-97 | 82 | #21 | 1511 | 1536 | 1414 |
GP counts every game in the corpus including playoffs. Pos is the team's league-wide ELO rank at the last computed game day of that season. Start, Peak and End are ELO values within the season (each season re-seeds at 1500).
Covered players: projection predictability
| Player | Pos | Starts | Predictability score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. | SG | 35 | 12.6 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | PF | 31 | 8.4 |
| Ousmane Dieng | C | 20 | 6.1 |
| Kyle Kuzma | PF | 42 | 5.2 |
| A.J. Green | SG | 62 | 3.7 |
| Ryan Rollins | PG | 62 | 3.6 |
| Myles Turner | C | 65 | 3.2 |
Every Milwaukee Bucks player with a predictability profile: started games only, 20-start minimum. The score measures how well our projections call the player's points and rebounds against a naive rolling average (higher is more predictable). Players without projection coverage are not listed.
Recent games: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | at Philadelphia 76ers | L Milwaukee Bucks 20.3% | L 106-126 ✓ |
| Apr 10, 2026 | vs Brooklyn Nets | W Milwaukee Bucks 66.6% | W 125-108 ✓ |
| Apr 08, 2026 | at Detroit Pistons | L Milwaukee Bucks 5.4% | L 111-137 ✓ |
| Apr 07, 2026 | at Brooklyn Nets | W Milwaukee Bucks 56.9% | L 90-96 ✗ |
| Apr 05, 2026 | vs Memphis Grizzlies | L Milwaukee Bucks 43.7% | W 131-115 ✗ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | vs Boston Celtics | L Milwaukee Bucks 13.1% | L 101-133 ✓ |
| Apr 01, 2026 | at Houston Rockets | L Milwaukee Bucks 10.4% | L 113-119 ✓ |
| Mar 31, 2026 | vs Dallas Mavericks | L Milwaukee Bucks 33.2% | W 123-99 ✗ |
| Mar 29, 2026 | vs Los Angeles Clippers | L Milwaukee Bucks 8.9% | L 113-127 ✓ |
| Mar 28, 2026 | vs San Antonio Spurs | L Milwaukee Bucks 14.4% | L 95-127 ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The NBA team ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/nba-teams/milwaukee-bucks">NBA team ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/elo-table/nba"
width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
title="NBA team ELO ratings — Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/nba-teams/milwaukee-bucks">NBA team ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>