NBA 2025-2026: Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards Prediction

Denver Nuggets

Home Team
79.0%
118.7 pts
VS

Washington Wizards

Away Team
21.0%
109.2 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Denver Nuggets are projected to come out on top against the Washington Wizards with a high probability of 79.0%. The predicted scoreline suggests a home team victory of 118.7 to 109.2 points. The Nuggets’ expected starting five includes Jamal Murray, Jalen Pickett, Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones, and Aaron Gordon. The Wizards are expected to counter with starters Kyshawn George, Tre Johnson, Justin Champagnie, Khris Middleton, and Alex Sarr.

Game Analysis

The Denver Nuggets enter this matchup on a strong note, having won their last three games against tough opponents like the Mavericks, Pelicans, and Bucks. They’ve demonstrated a resilient offense, averaging scores in the high one-teens, led by Jamal Murray’s impressive offensive rating of 125.1 and average points made of 25.78. Meanwhile, Aaron Gordon complements Murray with a solid 18.47 points per game and a robust offensive rating of 122.1. In contrast, the Washington Wizards are struggling, coming off a three-game losing streak with defeats against the Kings, Clippers, and Suns. This stretch has highlighted defensive vulnerabilities, as shown by their consistently high defensive ratings across the starting lineup, like Tre Johnson's 123.6 and Khris Middleton's 123.4. Despite these challenges, Alex Sarr remains a bright spot with his average of 16.93 points per game and a relatively balanced offensive rating of 110.8. The starting fives for both teams indicate a potential edge for the Nuggets due to their stronger offensive and defensive ratings. Denver's lineup averages higher in both categories, which may play a crucial role in overpowering the Wizards.

Final Prediction

The Denver Nuggets have a clear edge, thanks to their recent winning streak and superior player ratings, which can be pivotal in maintaining their momentum. Watch out for Jamal Murray's performance; his offensive capabilities could be a game-changer against the Wizards’ struggling defense.