Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonseca Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #19
52%
VS

Joao Fonseca

Rank: #49
48%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Ranking Trends

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Current Rank: #19 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #26 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #59 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #63 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #53 (2024-08-12)

Joao Fonseca

  • Current Rank: #49 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #65 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #98 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #150 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #167 (2024-08-12)

Player Metrics

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 54.1
ELO Rating: 1435.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1702.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.3
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 7.3
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 87.3

Joao Fonseca

Form Index: 52.9
ELO Rating: 1132.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1639.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 139.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.5
Clay: 9.1
Grass: 5.2
Serve Rating: 94.5
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (1-2) hard Toronto 141 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jakub Mensik (2-0) hard Toronto 76 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Corentin Moutet (2-0) hard Toronto 84 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alex De Minaur (1-2) hard Washington 183 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Ben Shelton (2-0) hard Washington 79 min

Joao Fonseca
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-1) hard Cincinnati 139 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Tristan Schoolkate (0-2) hard Toronto 92 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Nicolas Jarry (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jenson Brooksby (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jacob Fearnley (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
vs
0
Joao Fonseca
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Joao Fonseca is set for the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament, held on hard courts in Ohio, U.S.A. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is predicted to emerge victorious, with a 51.74% probability of winning compared to Joao Fonseca's 48.26%. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Ranked 19th, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina showcases a solid form index of 54.10 and an Elo rating of 1435, indicating stronger overall performance metrics compared to Joao Fonseca, who is ranked 49th with a form index of 52.94 and an Elo rating of 1132. Fatigue levels also play a crucial role, as Davidovich Fokina enters the match with no cumulative fatigue, while Fonseca has accumulated 139 minutes of on-court time in his current tournament. This may hinder Fonseca's performance, especially as the match progresses. Additionally, Davidovich Fokina holds a notable advantage in both the mean serve index (96.21) and mean return index (87.29), with the serve index exceeding Fonseca's by more than 5 points. In their recent performances, Davidovich Fokina has shown resilience, winning two out of his last three matches, although he faced a tough battle against Andrey Rublev in his most recent outing. Conversely, Joao Fonseca's recent form has been mixed, achieving victory against Yunchaokete Bu but suffering defeats in his matches against Tristan Schoolkate and Nicolas Jarry. This inconsistency may impact his confidence heading into this matchup.

Final Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's combination of higher ranking, superior metrics, and lack of fatigue provides him with a distinct edge over Joao Fonseca. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Davidovich Fokina's serve, as it could dictate the pace of the match and put Fonseca under pressure right from the outset.