Alejandro Tabilo vs Emilio Nava: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Tabilo (rank 71) enters with a higher Elo (742.08) and a slightly stronger recent form index (39.86) than Nava (rank 81, Elo 680.73, form 37.37). Both players show no cumulative fatigue from the current tournament. Surface strength indices are modest for both—Tabilo 6.98 and Nava 5.66—indicating neither is a clay specialist by these metrics. The mean serve indices differ meaningfully: Nava’s serve index (97.41) is about 10 points higher than Tabilo’s (87.12), while Nava also holds a substantially stronger mean return index (87.17) compared with Tabilo’s 52.36; both differences exceed the 5-point threshold and are likely to shape service dynamics and break opportunities. Recent form over the last three matches shows Tabilo coming off two wins in Buenos Aires (including a straight-sets win and a three-setter) before a three-set loss to Tomas Martin Etcheverry on clay; his recent matches were long, suggesting solid match toughness. Nava’s last three results include a win at the Australian Open over Kyrian Jacquet on hard courts, followed by two defeats (a long hard-court loss to Cameron Norrie and a straight-sets loss in Buenos Aires on clay), indicating mixed momentum and fewer extended wins on clay.