Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Alex Michelsen vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

Alex Michelsen

Rank: #34
46%
VS

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #46
54%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Corentin Moutet

Player Metrics

Alex Michelsen

Form Index: 47.5
ELO Rating: 1252.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1606.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.5
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 9.5
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 88.8

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 52.0
ELO Rating: 1270.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1638.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 91.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.4
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.4
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 88.7

Recent Matches

Alex Michelsen

  • Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) hard Toronto 104 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Learner Tien (2-0) hard Toronto 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-1) hard Toronto 151 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tomas Barrios Vera (2-0) hard Toronto 116 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniel Evans (0-2) hard Washington 104 min

Corentin Moutet

  • Last Match: vs Mackenzie McDonald (2-0) hard Cincinnati 91 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) hard Toronto 84 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-0) hard Toronto 73 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Washington 104 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (2-1) hard Washington 145 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alex Michelsen
vs
2
Corentin Moutet
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

The Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament is set to showcase an intriguing matchup in the Round of 64 between Alex Michelsen and Corentin Moutet on hard court. With a slight edge in probabilities, Corentin Moutet is predicted to win with a 54.30% chance, while Alex Michelsen's chances stand at 45.70%. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Alex Michelsen, currently ranked 34, holds a form index of 47.51 and an Elo rating of 1252.07, reflecting a solid but not exceptional performance recently. His surface strength index is 11.45, indicating moderate proficiency on hard courts. In contrast, Corentin Moutet, ranked 46, boasts a slightly better Elo rating of 1270.06 and a higher form index of 51.96. Moutet's surface strength index is lower at 9.38, although he has shown resilience in his recent matches on hard surfaces. Notably, Michelsen has a significantly higher mean serve index (97.45) compared to Moutet's (94.87), which could play a critical role in the match. Both players have similar mean return indices, with Michelsen at 88.78 and Moutet at 88.72, indicating balanced return capabilities. In their last three matches, Michelsen's performance has been mixed, winning against Learner Tien and Lorenzo Musetti but losing to Karen Khachanov in his most recent outing. Moutet's recent form has also been inconsistent; he recorded a convincing victory over Mackenzie McDonald but faced defeat against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prior to that. Moutet's fatigue level of 91 minutes from his current tournament could potentially impact his performance, while Michelsen has yet to accumulate any fatigue.

Final Prediction

Corentin Moutet's slight advantage in recent form and experience on the ATP circuit may give him the edge in this matchup against Alex Michelsen. However, Michelsen's superior serving capabilities could be a key factor to watch, potentially swinging crucial games in his favor. The outcome will largely depend on how both players manage their strengths and fatigue levels throughout the match.