Gstaad Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Alexander Shevchenko vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #98
37%
VS

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #31
63%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

Player Metrics

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 40.3
ELO Rating: 598.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1574.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 74.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.3
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 89.3

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 53.8
ELO Rating: 1725.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1688.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Last Match: vs Stan Wawrinka (2-0) clay Gstaad 74 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Elias Ymer (0-2) grass Mallorca 79 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Dusan Lajovic (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Alexander Bublik

  • Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (2-0) grass Halle 81 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (2-1) grass Halle 122 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (2-0) grass Halle 82 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (2-1) grass Halle 122 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Shevchenko
vs
1
Alexander Bublik
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 match at the Gstaad tournament in Switzerland, Alexander Shevchenko faces Alexander Bublik on clay courts. The predicted winner is Alexander Bublik, with a win probability of 62.89% compared to Shevchenko's 37.11%. The total number of games expected to be played in this match is approximately 23.

Match Analysis

Alexander Bublik, currently ranked 31, showcases a solid form index of 53.85 and a higher Elo rating of 1725.90, indicating his overall superior performance level compared to Shevchenko, who is ranked 98 with a form index of 40.30 and an Elo rating of 598.16. Bublik's current fatigue level is at 0.0 minutes, giving him an advantage in stamina, while Shevchenko has accumulated 74.0 minutes of fatigue in this tournament. On clay, Bublik also has a stronger surface strength index of 14.28 versus Shevchenko's 6.34, further emphasizing his suitability for this surface. Notably, the difference in their mean serve indices is minimal at 0.19, but Bublik has a slight edge in returning with an index of 86.39 compared to Shevchenko's 89.31. Analyzing their recent performances, Shevchenko's last match saw him triumph over Stan Wawrinka, winning in straight sets, showcasing his potential on clay. However, his two previous matches resulted in losses on grass, indicating inconsistency. Bublik, on the other hand, faced a tough match against Jaume Munar in his last outing, suffering a loss despite winning against notable opponents like Daniil Medvedev and Karen Khachanov in earlier matches. This fluctuation in Bublik's recent form may pose challenges, but his overall performance and ranking suggest greater resilience.

Final Prediction

Bublik's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and lack of fatigue provide him with a distinct advantage going into this match. A key factor to observe will be Bublik's ability to adapt to the clay surface, which could determine the match's flow and outcome.