Halle Germany Grass Atp 500 Quarterfinals

Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #24
27%
VS

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #3
73%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Zverev

Ranking Trends

Flavio Cobolli

  • Current Rank: #24 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #43 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #32 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #32 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #49 (2024-06-17)

Alexander Zverev

  • Current Rank: #3 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #2 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #2 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #2 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #4 (2024-06-17)

Player Metrics

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 72.0
ELO Rating: 1434.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1643.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 317.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 13.1
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 88.1

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 69.3
ELO Rating: 6364.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1883.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 222.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 55.0
Clay: 54.0
Grass: 62.0
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 88.0

Recent Matches

Flavio Cobolli
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Denis Shapovalov (2-1) grass Halle 153 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Joao Fonseca (2-1) grass Halle 164 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Arnaldi (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Marin Cilic (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Alexander Zverev
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-1) grass Halle 143 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Marcos Giron (2-0) grass Halle 79 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) grass Stuttgart 85 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Ben Shelton (2-0) grass Stuttgart 121 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-0) grass Stuttgart 90 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Flavio Cobolli
vs
1
Alexander Zverev
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the quarterfinals of the Halle tournament unfold on the grass courts of Germany, Flavio Cobolli is set to face off against Alexander Zverev. With Zverev holding a significant advantage, he is predicted to win with a probability of 73.17%, while Cobolli's chances stand at 26.83%. The anticipated total number of games in this match is projected to be around 22.

Match Analysis

Alexander Zverev, currently ranked 3rd in the world, boasts an Elo rating of 6363.96 and a solid surface strength index of 62.04, highlighting his proficiency on grass. His form index of 69.30 indicates a steady performance, although he has shown slight fatigue with 222 minutes spent on court during the tournament. In contrast, Flavio Cobolli, ranked 24th, has an Elo rating of 1434.45 and a lower surface strength index of 12.07, suggesting he may struggle against Zverev's experience and skill on grass. Cobolli's form index of 72.01 reflects a decent level of play, but his cumulative fatigue of 317 minutes indicates he has been pushed harder in his matches. Both players have shown strong performances recently, with Zverev winning his last two matches in Halle against Lorenzo Sonego and Marcos Giron, while Cobolli has also secured victories against Denis Shapovalov and Joao Fonseca. Notably, Zverev's mean serve index of 96.68 is marginally lower than Cobolli's 96.93, indicating a competitive serving ability. However, Cobolli's return index of 88.14 is slightly higher than Zverev's 88.04, which may provide him with some opportunities to break Zverev's serve.

Final Prediction

Zverev's higher rank, experience on grass, and overall skill set lend him a clear advantage heading into this quarterfinal match. A key factor to watch will be Zverev's ability to maintain his serve under pressure, as Cobolli's slightly superior return index could create openings if he can effectively capitalize on them.