Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

On paper the contrast is clear: Rublev arrives as the higher-ranked player (15 vs 47) with a stronger surface strength index (44.54 to 41.68), but Machac shows better recent form (form index 72.57 to Rublev’s 47.67) and a marginally higher Elo (1773.68 vs 1739.11). Fatigue will be a storyline — Rublev has logged 214 minutes in this event compared with Machac’s 99, which can blunt movement and decision-making deep into rallies on clay. Service and return profiles diverge sharply. Rublev’s mean serve index (97.91) dramatically outpaces Machac’s (61.41) — a gap well over 5 points — and his mean return index (90.53) also tops Machac’s (64.56) by a wide margin. Those differences underline Rublev’s power and aggression on both serve and return, though clay reduces the raw payoff of big serves. Over their last three matches each player is 2-1 at tour-level events here and in Monte Carlo: Machac beat Baez and Cerundolo but lost to Sinner, while Rublev defeated Sonego and Navone and dropped a match to Bergs. Both have shown resilience in multi-set matches and played lengthy contests in recent weeks.