Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 32

Arthur Fils vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction

Arthur Fils

Rank: #14
42%
VS

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Rank: #19
58%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ranking Trends

Arthur Fils

  • Current Rank: #14 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #19 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #20 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #23 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #34 (2024-05-06)

Stefanos Tsitsipas

  • Current Rank: #19 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #12 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #12 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #11 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #8 (2024-05-06)

Player Metrics

Arthur Fils

Form Index: 49.5
ELO Rating: 2157.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1668.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 67.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.1
Clay: 17.8
Grass: 20.6
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 86.7

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Form Index: 52.4
ELO Rating: 2580.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1891.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 91.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.3
Clay: 26.5
Grass: 26.6
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 84.7

Recent Matches

Arthur Fils
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-0) clay Rome 67 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Comesana (0-2) clay Madrid 105 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) clay Barcelona 75 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (1-0) clay Barcelona 17 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Pedro Martinez (2-0) clay Barcelona 68 min

Stefanos Tsitsipas
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) clay Rome 91 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) clay Madrid 114 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jan-Lennard Struff (2-1) clay Madrid 118 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Fils (0-1) clay Barcelona 17 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Sebastian Korda (2-0) clay Barcelona 97 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Arthur Fils
vs
0
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Arthur Fils and Stefanos Tsitsipas at the Rome Masters 1000 is set to be an intriguing clash in the Round of 32 on clay. Tsitsipas is favored to win with a probability of 57.64%, while Fils has a 42.36% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this match is approximately 24.

Match Analysis

Arthur Fils, currently ranked 14th, has a form index of 49.54 and an Elo rating of 2157.69. His fatigue level stands at 67 minutes, having recently won a match against Tallon Griekspoor in Rome, but faced earlier defeats against Francisco Comesana and Carlos Alcaraz in Madrid and Barcelona respectively. His surface strength index is 17.79, indicating he is still developing his game on clay. Fils has a mean serve index of 97.22 and a mean return index of 86.71, showing a strong serving capability but a slightly better returning performance. On the other hand, Stefanos Tsitsipas, ranked 19th, has a higher Elo rating of 2580.01 and a form index of 52.41, suggesting he has been slightly more consistent. His fatigue is notably higher at 91 minutes, but he recently secured a comfortable win against Alexandre Muller. Tsitsipas's surface strength index of 26.46 suggests he excels on clay compared to Fils, and although his mean serve index is slightly lower at 96.17, his mean return index of 84.75 is also competently high. The difference in their mean serve indices is marginal, but both players show strong serving capabilities.

Final Prediction

Stefanos Tsitsipas is predicted to have the upper hand due to his superior Elo rating and overall stronger performance on clay. The key factor to observe will be how Tsitsipas manages his fatigue, as he has played longer matches recently, which could impact his performance against Fils.