Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Adrian Mannarino vs Ben Shelton Prediction

Adrian Mannarino

Rank: #93
24%
VS

Ben Shelton

Rank: #8
76%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Ben Shelton

Ranking Trends

Adrian Mannarino

  • Current Rank: #93 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #124 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #108 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #58 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #32 (2024-07-29)

Ben Shelton

  • Current Rank: #8 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #13 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #14 (2025-01-27)
  • 9 Months Ago: #19 (2024-10-28)
  • 12 Months Ago: #14 (2024-07-29)

Player Metrics

Adrian Mannarino

Form Index: 62.7
ELO Rating: 670.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1639.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 173.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.8
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 6.3
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 87.4

Ben Shelton

Form Index: 67.6
ELO Rating: 1637.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1720.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.2
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 15.9
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 84.2

Recent Matches

Adrian Mannarino
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Marcos Giron (2-0) hard Toronto 88 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Juan Carlos Aguilar (2-0) hard Toronto 85 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs James Duckworth (0-2) hard Los Cabos 90 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Andrey Rublev (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Valentin Royer (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Ben Shelton
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) hard Washington 79 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Frances Tiafoe (2-0) hard Washington 117 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Gabriel Diallo (2-0) hard Washington 61 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Mackenzie McDonald (2-0) hard Washington 75 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Adrian Mannarino
vs
0
Ben Shelton
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Toronto Masters 1000 tournament, Adrian Mannarino faces off against Ben Shelton on hard courts in Canada. The prediction favors Ben Shelton as the winner, with a probability of 76.20% compared to Mannarino's 23.80%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 23.

Match Analysis

Adrian Mannarino is currently ranked 93rd, with a form index of 62.69 and an Elo rating of 670.27. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 173 minutes, which could impact his performance. Mannarino's surface strength index of 6.76 indicates a moderate capability on hard courts, while his mean serve index is a solid 96.60. However, his mean return index of 87.41 is not significantly higher than Shelton's, suggesting he may struggle to capitalize on return opportunities. On the other hand, Ben Shelton holds a much stronger ranking at 8th, with a form index of 67.59 and an Elo rating of 1637.12. Shelton's fatigue level is at 0 minutes, indicating he is fresh for this match. His surface strength index of 13.23 reflects his proficiency on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 96.51 is comparable to Mannarino's, but his mean return index of 84.18 is lower. Nonetheless, the cumulative advantages in ranking and overall form favor Shelton. In their most recent matches, Mannarino has performed well in Toronto, winning two consecutive matches, while Shelton's recent loss to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina may affect his confidence.

Final Prediction

Ben Shelton is expected to have the upper hand in this matchup due to his superior ranking, form, and lack of fatigue. A key factor to watch will be Mannarino's ability to handle Shelton's serve and maintain consistency against a higher-ranked opponent.