Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Ben Shelton vs Alex Bolt Prediction

Ben Shelton

Rank: #10
77%
VS

Alex Bolt

Rank: #179
23%
Expected Total Games: 39.0
Predicted Winner: Ben Shelton

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Player Metrics

Ben Shelton

Form Index: 29.4
ELO Rating: 1646.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1702.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 15.7
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 84.0

Alex Bolt

Form Index: 59.2
ELO Rating: 415.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1519.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.1
Clay: 3.0
Grass: 5.8
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 84.4

Recent Matches

Ben Shelton

Alex Bolt

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ben Shelton
vs
0
Alex Bolt
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, Ben Shelton is set to face Alex Bolt on the grass courts of Great Britain. With a significant edge in ranking and performance metrics, Shelton is predicted to win this match with a probability of 76.85%, while Bolt's chances stand at 23.15%. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is 39.0.

Match Analysis

Ben Shelton, currently ranked 10th, boasts a robust form index of 29.45, coupled with an Elo rating of 1646.37. His fatigue level is notably low at 0.0 minutes, indicating he is fresh for this match. Shelton's surface strength index of 15.67 reflects his capability on grass, while his mean serve index of 98.15 surpasses Bolt’s by over 2 points, suggesting a powerful serve. In contrast, Alex Bolt is ranked 179th, with a form index of 59.17 and an Elo rating of 415.77. His fatigue is considerably higher at 174.0 minutes, which may affect his performance. Bolt's surface strength index is lower at 5.80, and while his mean return index is slightly better than Shelton’s by 0.48 points, it is not significant enough to offset Shelton's advantages. In their recent performances, Shelton has faced tough competition, losing all three of his last matches against skilled opponents. His last defeat came against Learner Tien in Mallorca, where he failed to win a set. Conversely, Alex Bolt has demonstrated strong form recently, winning his last three matches, including a clean sweep against Martin Landaluce in his latest outing at Wimbledon, where he won all sets.

Final Prediction

Ben Shelton's higher ranking, superior serve index, and minimal fatigue position him favorably against Alex Bolt. The key factor to watch will be Shelton's ability to capitalize on his serving advantage and exploit Bolt's higher fatigue levels, which could significantly impact the match's outcome.

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