Stuttgart Germany Grass Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Ben Shelton vs Jiri Lehecka Prediction

Ben Shelton

Rank: #12
46%
VS

Jiri Lehecka

Rank: #33
54%
Expected Total Games: 25.0
Predicted Winner: Jiri Lehecka

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Player Metrics

Ben Shelton

Form Index: 62.1
ELO Rating: 1801.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1714.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 110.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 17.5
Serve Rating: 98.1
Return Rating: 84.1

Jiri Lehecka

Form Index: 68.9
ELO Rating: 1899.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1682.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 161.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.7
Clay: 15.3
Grass: 16.5
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 85.1

Recent Matches

Ben Shelton

Jiri Lehecka

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ben Shelton
vs
0
Jiri Lehecka
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the Stuttgart tournament, taking place on grass, Ben Shelton faces Jiri Lehecka in what promises to be an exciting match-up. The predicted winner is Jiri Lehecka with a win probability of 54.44%, while Ben Shelton has a 45.56% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played is set at 25.

Match Analysis

Ben Shelton holds a higher rank at 12 compared to Jiri Lehecka's 33, and his form index reflects a solid performance at 62.09 against Lehecka's 68.95. However, Lehecka boasts a superior Elo rating of 1899.55 versus Shelton's 1801.80, indicating his overall competitive strength. Both players are experiencing considerable fatigue, with Shelton at 110 minutes and Lehecka at 161 minutes. On the surface strength index, Shelton has a slight edge with 17.45 compared to Lehecka’s 16.51. Notably, there is a small difference in their mean serve indices, with Shelton at 98.08 and Lehecka at 96.15, which is less than 5 points. However, Lehecka has a marginally better mean return index of 85.10 compared to Shelton's 84.10. Looking at recent performances, both players come off convincing victories in their last matches at Stuttgart. Shelton won against Pierre-Hugues Herbert in straight sets, while Lehecka defeated Jan-Lennard Struff without dropping a game as well. Prior to Stuttgart, Shelton had mixed results at Roland Garros, losing to Carlos Alcaraz, contrasting with Lehecka's strong showing, including a win over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. This recent form could play a crucial role in their upcoming encounter.

Final Prediction

Jiri Lehecka's recent form and slightly higher Elo rating provide him with an edge in this quarterfinal clash. A key factor to monitor will be how both players manage their fatigue levels, particularly given Lehecka's higher cumulative minutes on court. With both players capable of solid performances, the match could hinge on their ability to capitalize on each other's weaknesses.

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