Kitzbuhel Austria Clay Atp 250 Round of 32

Botic van de Zandschulp vs Nicolas Jarry Prediction

Botic van de Zandschulp

Rank: #100
41%
VS

Nicolas Jarry

Rank: #96
59%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Nicolas Jarry

Ranking Trends

Botic van de Zandschulp

  • Current Rank: #100 (2025-07-14)
  • 3 Months Ago: #88 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #84 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #67 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #85 (2024-07-22)

Nicolas Jarry

  • Current Rank: #96 (2025-07-14)
  • 3 Months Ago: #57 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #36 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #34 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #24 (2024-07-22)

Player Metrics

Botic van de Zandschulp

Form Index: 37.5
ELO Rating: 711.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1574.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.4
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 6.4
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 88.2

Nicolas Jarry

Form Index: 90.5
ELO Rating: 1236.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1663.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.5
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 10.9
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 84.1

Recent Matches

Botic van de Zandschulp
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (1-2) clay Bastad 170 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Mikael Ymer (2-0) clay Bastad 77 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Arnaldi (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nishesh Basavareddy (1-2) grass Mallorca 210 min

Nicolas Jarry
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Cameron Norrie (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Joao Fonseca (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Learner Tien (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Holger Rune (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lukas Klein (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Botic van de Zandschulp
vs
0
Nicolas Jarry
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Botic van de Zandschulp and Nicolas Jarry is set to take place in the Round of 32 at the Kitzbühel tournament in Austria, played on clay, which is known to favor baseline players. Nicolas Jarry is predicted to win this encounter with a probability of 59.34%, while Botic van de Zandschulp has a 40.66% chance of victory. The estimated total number of games played in this match is projected to be around 23.

Match Analysis

Botic van de Zandschulp, currently ranked 100, has a form index of 37.53 and an Elo rating of 711.20, indicating a relatively low performance level compared to his opponent. His surface strength index on clay is 4.90, which suggests he has yet to fully adapt to this playing surface. In contrast, Nicolas Jarry, ranked 96, boasts a form index of 90.49 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 1236.53. Jarry's surface strength index of 9.42 highlights his proficiency on clay, giving him a notable edge. Furthermore, the difference in their mean serve indexes is minimal (Jarry at 95.75 vs. van de Zandschulp at 96.28), but van de Zandschulp's mean return index of 88.24 exceeds Jarry's 84.08 by a narrow margin, suggesting he is slightly more effective in returning serves. Recent performances reveal a contrast in momentum. Van de Zandschulp's last three matches include a loss to Camilo Ugo Carabelli, a victory over Mikael Ymer, and a loss to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. His inconsistent form highlights potential vulnerabilities. Conversely, Jarry's recent matches at Wimbledon show two victories against Joao Fonseca and Learner Tien, alongside a tough loss to Cameron Norrie, indicating he is in better competitive shape heading into this clash.

Final Prediction

Nicolas Jarry's superior form and higher Elo rating provide him with a significant advantage heading into this match. His proficiency on clay, combined with recent match experience, positions him as the favored player. A key factor to watch will be Jarry's ability to maintain his serving consistency against van de Zandschulp's stronger return game, which could influence the match dynamics significantly.