Vienna Austria Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Cameron Norrie vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #35
33%
VS

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #15
67%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

Ranking Trends

Cameron Norrie

  • Current Rank: #35 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #41 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #91 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #52 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #53 (2024-10-21)

Andrey Rublev

  • Current Rank: #15 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #10 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #8 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #9 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #7 (2024-10-21)

Player Metrics

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 24.3
ELO Rating: 1326.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1700.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.2
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 11.1
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 88.0

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 34.1
ELO Rating: 1715.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1851.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.6
Clay: 22.0
Grass: 27.1
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 87.3

Recent Matches

Cameron Norrie
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Learner Tien (0-2) hard Shanghai 107 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) hard Beijing 75 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Yi Zhou (1-2) hard Chengdu 164 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Francisco Comesana (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min

Andrey Rublev
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Yoshihito Nishioka (1-2) hard Shanghai 107 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (0-2) hard Beijing 112 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Valentin Royer (0-2) hard Hangzhou 108 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Coleman Wong (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Tristan Boyer (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Cameron Norrie
vs
0
Andrey Rublev
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Cameron Norrie and Andrey Rublev takes place in Vienna, Austria, as part of the Round of 32 in an ATP 500 tournament on a hard surface. Andrey Rublev is predicted to win with a probability of 67.25%, while Cameron Norrie's chances stand at 32.75%. The total number of games expected to be played in the match is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Cameron Norrie currently ranks 35th and has a form index of 24.32, which indicates a challenging recent performance. His Elo rating of 1326 suggests he has struggled against higher-ranked opponents lately. Norrie's surface strength index is 10.15, and he has a mean serve index of 96.73, alongside a mean return index of 87.95. Notably, his mean serve index is slightly higher than Rublev's by about 0.53, but his return index is superior by 0.62. On the other hand, Andrey Rublev holds a higher rank of 15 and a better form index of 34.08. His Elo rating of 1715 shows a significant gap in experience and performance level. With a surface strength index of 13.58, Rublev possesses a solid foundation on hard courts. His mean serve index is 96.20, which is competitive, yet slightly lower than Norrie's, whereas his mean return index of 87.33 demonstrates a close contest in return capabilities. Both players have struggled in their recent matches, with Norrie losing all three of his last encounters and Rublev also suffering defeats in two out of his last three matches.

Final Prediction

Andrey Rublev has the edge due to his higher ranking, Elo rating, and recent form index, indicating a stronger competitive status. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Norrie can utilize his slightly superior serve and return metrics to challenge Rublev, who has shown resilience in tough matches.