Metz France Hard Atp 250 Semifinals

Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #31
51%
VS

Lorenzo Sonego

Rank: #45
49%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Cameron Norrie

Player Metrics

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 57.7
ELO Rating: 1413.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1720.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 437.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.1
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 11.1
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 87.6

Lorenzo Sonego

Form Index: 58.0
ELO Rating: 1177.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1608.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 385.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 8.8
Grass: 9.8
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 84.9

Recent Matches

Cameron Norrie

  • Last Match: vs Kyrian Jacquet (2-1) hard Metz 145 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (2-1) hard Metz 166 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (2-1) hard Metz 126 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Valentin Vacherot (0-2) hard Paris 96 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (2-1) hard Paris 142 min

Lorenzo Sonego

  • Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (2-0) hard Metz 122 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (2-1) hard Metz 127 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jan Choinski (2-1) hard Metz 136 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (1-2) hard Paris 159 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-1) hard Paris 116 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Cameron Norrie
vs
0
Lorenzo Sonego
Hard
2 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The semifinals of the ATP 250 tournament in Metz, France, features a clash between Cameron Norrie and Lorenzo Sonego on hard courts. The predicted winner is Cameron Norrie, with a probability of 50.88% to Sonego's 49.12%. The anticipated total number of games in this match is approximately 24.

Match Analysis

Cameron Norrie, currently ranked 31, has a form index of 57.65 and an Elo rating of 1413.38. He comes into this match with a cumulative fatigue of 437 minutes spent on court, which may slightly affect his performance. His surface strength index of 11.06 indicates a solid proficiency on hard courts, while his mean serve index (96.87) and mean return index (87.63) suggest he has a slight edge in both serving and returning compared to Sonego. Lorenzo Sonego, ranked 45, has a marginally higher form index of 58.04 and a lower Elo rating of 1176.98. His fatigue level is also lower at 385 minutes, which could play a role in endurance. Although Sonego’s serve index (96.15) is close to Norrie's, he trails in the return index (84.93), creating a notable gap of over 5 points in this area. In their recent performances, Norrie has secured three consecutive wins in Metz, showcasing resilience by winning two sets in each match, including a recent victory over Kyrian Jacquet. Sonego also enters this match with a strong record, winning his last three matches convincingly, including a straight-set victory against Daniel Altmaier. Both players demonstrate good form, but Norrie's recent matches have been slightly more demanding in duration.

Final Prediction

Cameron Norrie's slight advantage in serve and return performance, coupled with his experience at the ATP level, gives him an edge heading into this semifinal. A key factor to observe will be how fatigue impacts their performance, particularly for Norrie, who has spent more time on court during this tournament.