Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Round of 16

Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #31
55%
VS

Valentin Vacherot

Rank: #40
45%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Cameron Norrie

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Ranking Trends

Cameron Norrie

  • Current #31 2025-10-27
  • 3 mo ago #39 2025-07-28
  • 6 mo ago #91 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #63 2025-01-27
  • 12 mo ago #56 2024-10-28

Valentin Vacherot

  • Current #40 2025-10-27
  • 3 mo ago #253 2025-07-28
  • 6 mo ago #223 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #201 2025-01-27
  • 12 mo ago #127 2024-10-28

Player Metrics

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 48.2
ELO Rating: 1444.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1714.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 226.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.3
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 11.1
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 87.9

Valentin Vacherot

Form Index: 51.1
ELO Rating: 1050.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1623.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.6
Clay: 4.5
Grass: 3.3
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 86.0

Recent Matches

Cameron Norrie
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

Valentin Vacherot
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Cameron Norrie
vs
0
Valentin Vacherot
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Paris, Cameron Norrie is set to face Valentin Vacherot on hard courts. The prediction leans slightly in favor of Norrie with a win probability of 55.27%, compared to Vacherot's 44.73%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 22 games played.

Match Analysis

Cameron Norrie, currently ranked 31st, holds a form index of 48.19 and an Elo rating of 1444.26, indicating a solid competitive level. His cumulative fatigue stands at 226 minutes, which may affect his performance. Norrie's surface strength index of 11.29 suggests he is reasonably adept on hard courts, and his mean serve index of 96.81 gives him a slight edge in serve quality over Vacherot, whose mean serve index is 95.57. The difference in mean return index is not substantial, with Norrie at 87.91 and Vacherot at 86.03, indicating a relatively even matchup in terms of return capabilities. Valentin Vacherot, ranked 40th, comes into this match with a form index of 51.08 and an Elo rating of 1050.85, reflecting a lower competitive standing compared to Norrie. Vacherot has a cumulative fatigue of 174 minutes, which is slightly less than Norrie's, potentially giving him a physical advantage. In his recent matches, Vacherot has shown resilience, winning against Arthur Rinderknech in his last outing, while Norrie also secured a victory over Carlos Alcaraz in a tightly contested match.

Final Prediction

Cameron Norrie has the upper hand due to his higher rank, superior Elo rating, and slightly better serve index. A key factor to observe will be Norrie's ability to manage his fatigue against Vacherot, who may capitalize on any lapses in Norrie's performance. This match promises to be a closely contested battle, with both players showing competitive spirit in their recent performances.

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