Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Tommy Paul, currently ranked 12, enters this match with a solid form index of 89.45 and an Elo rating of 2712.63. His fatigue level stands at 696 minutes, indicating he has been active in the tournament but may be feeling the strain. Paul’s surface strength index at 24.21 suggests he is less effective on clay compared to his opponent. In contrast, Carlos Alcaraz, ranked 2, boasts a higher form index of 91.01 and an impressive Elo rating of 6533.20, indicating his dominance in the sport. Alcaraz’s surface strength index is significantly higher at 59.66, showcasing his adeptness on clay. While both players have similar mean serve indices, Alcaraz's mean return index of 87.76 gives him an edge over Paul's 88.36, but this gap is marginal. In their last three matches, Tommy Paul has performed well, winning all three matches convincingly, including a recent straight-sets victory over Alexei Popyrin. Each match has been a test, but his ability to win has maintained a positive trajectory. Conversely, Alcaraz has also showcased his prowess, winning his last three matches, though he faced slightly more resistance, dropping one set to Ben Shelton. Both players are in formidable form, but Alcaraz's recent performances indicate a higher level of dominance.