Basel Switzerland Hard Atp 500 Quarterfinals

Casper Ruud vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Casper Ruud

Rank: #11
65%
VS

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #18
35%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Casper Ruud

Player Metrics

Casper Ruud

Form Index: 67.9
ELO Rating: 3013.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1793.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 176.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.2
Clay: 30.6
Grass: 34.9
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 85.6

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 57.7
ELO Rating: 1311.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1701.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 289.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.3
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 7.4
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 87.2

Recent Matches

Casper Ruud

  • Last Match: vs Stan Wawrinka (2-0) hard Basel 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (2-0) hard Basel 75 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-0) hard Stockholm 66 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (2-0) hard Stockholm 79 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (2-1) hard Stockholm 150 min

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-1) hard Basel 167 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-0) hard Basel 122 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (0-2) hard Brussels 107 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (2-1) hard Brussels 134 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (0-2) hard Shanghai 111 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Casper Ruud
vs
0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinals of the Basel tournament in Switzerland feature a clash between Casper Ruud and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina on hard courts. With Ruud ranked 11th and boasting a higher probability of winning at 64.59%, compared to Davidovich Fokina's 35.41%, the predicted total number of games played is estimated at 22.

Match Analysis

Casper Ruud enters this match with an Elo rating of 3013.43 and a form index of 67.89, reflecting solid recent performances. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 176 minutes, which is relatively low compared to his opponent. Ruud’s surface strength index of 18.19 and mean serve index of 97.00 are both impressive, particularly his serve which gives him a distinct edge over Davidovich Fokina. The latter has a mean serve index of 94.75, which, while still strong, is over 5 points lower than Ruud’s, indicating potential challenges in handling Ruud’s serves. Davidovich Fokina, ranked 18th, carries a form index of 57.72 and an Elo rating of 1311.07, both of which are notably lower than Ruud’s metrics. He also has a higher cumulative fatigue of 289 minutes, which could affect his endurance in this match. His mean return index of 87.20 is higher than Ruud’s 85.58, suggesting he has the capability to put pressure on Ruud’s serve. In their recent matches, Ruud has maintained a perfect record in his last three encounters, while Davidovich Fokina won two out of his last three, including a match that went to three sets against Jenson Brooksby.

Final Prediction

Casper Ruud's superior serving ability and lower fatigue levels provide him with a significant advantage heading into this quarterfinal. The key factor to watch will be how effectively Davidovich Fokina can handle Ruud’s powerful serves and whether he can maintain his energy throughout the match given his higher cumulative fatigue.